告诉大家我为什么开始看牛的另一个原因

美眉妹

linday

回复 zhyuan04 的帖子

LZ must be wrong,  are you talking about $SPX?

SPY established in Jan 29, 1993

dzyx

回复 zhyuan04 的帖子

你把数据分开，看看那些是牛市的，那些是熊市的。在看看结论有没变化？

zhyuan04

linday 发表于 2011-10-1 13:23
回复 zhyuan04 的帖子

LZ must be wrong,  are you talking about $SPX?

you are wrong. 不要自己没搞清楚就用这么大的字体。再说了SPX和SPY有什么区别吗？

Forevergreen

joep

zhyuan04 发表于 2011-10-1 14:38
you are wrong. 不要自己没搞清楚就用这么大的字体。再说了SPX和SPY有什么区别吗？

SPY is an ETF and SPX is an index. An index ETF cannot be created if the underline index does not exist.

donalan

wsjboy

umqasr

q13117

>>以上数据仅对中长期投资者适用，短线客勿扰

Please pay more attention to this note.

q13117

>>2002 Q2 -13%, 2002 Q3 -17% (2个季度后就升回来了）
>>2008 Q4 -22%, 2009 Q1 -11% (1个季度后就升回来了）

You are right. But market sharply dropped to kill many investors/traders before coming back and many investors was dead in front of dawn. on 03/10/2003 market hit the bottom in third time and built a higher low than 10/08~ 10/10/2002 then started a new big bull market; on 03/06~ 03/09/2009 the market hit the bottom then flied away for two years until this year. The key point is next quarter is end of down market or middle of down market?

Regardless next quarter is down or up, it is very touch to individual traders/investors

Thanks for your sharing !!!

Laparis

cat2011

austinjoe

qiche1976

COS

dodofish

yuxiaohong

zhyuan04

zhyuan04 发表于 2011-9-30 21:50
我把近40年来SPY季度损失大于10%的例子跳出来，大家看看下一个季度的回报是多少.

1981 Q3 -10%, 1981 Q4 ...

who remembers this?

benbendan