Perfect Wave - 2011-Q3

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-18 08:58 PM

08/18/2011 SP Intraday

Comments are welcome!

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-20 02:09 AM

08/20/2011

Comments are welcome!

李隆基 · 发表于 2011-8-20 04:04 AM

金子上看2070，极限2200。

YMYD!

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-20 01:23 PM

~~~ Trade with Elliott Wave Principle ~~~

Trading with EW needs to be flexible, and the wave count needs to be adjusted in accordance with the actual market behavior. See the following two charts:

On 08/06/2011, I was guessing that gold's bull run was about ending (because it has reached one of my long term targets ($1690, why that? See the backup at the end).

On Monday 08/08/2011, it gapped up and broke 08/04/'s high. At that moment, an extension was forming, and the wave needed to be recounted.

The following chart is the wave count as of 08/13/2011. The market closed at $1740 on Friday (08/12/2011). The preferred count was seeing it heading to $1800 and then $1850.

The market movement in last week showed a very strong upside momentum. All short term wave targets got fulfilled with minimal effort. The wave-5 showed 5 well-defined waves in its intraday chart. We don't know if there is more extension here again. If so, the next target would be $1960.

How to trade?
1. It's better not to short against the explosive wave-5 because:
1.1 We don't know whether it will have any extension or not.
1.2 There is no meaningful point that a stop order can be placed to protect your position.
2. It's better to try after we have seen a well-defined downside impulsive movement.  Then you know to short when it rebounds, and you know where you can stand against.

Backups:
1. Before the bull took off:  http://groups.wenxuecity.com/discussion.php?gid=921&pid=46960
2. When the bull just started:  http://groups.wenxuecity.com/discussion.php?gid=921&pid=49654
3. Why $1690?

hunting · 发表于 2011-8-20 02:29 PM

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-25 07:29 PM

08/25/2011 SP Intraday

Comments are welcome!

hunting · 发表于 2011-8-25 11:05 PM

谢谢分享，请教一个问题；如何才能数好波浪，精确判断在第几浪，，经常数不好，有没有啥技巧？？可不可以来一张周线图？？谢谢老大

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-26 01:30 AM

hunting 发表于 2011-8-25 23:05
谢谢分享，请教一个问题；如何才能数好波浪，精确判断在第几浪，，经常数不好，有没有啥技巧？？ ...

hunting - To answer your question about "如何才能数好波浪", you need to read historical charts as many as possible. The fastest way to learn wave is from S&P intraday chart because it has very short life cycles. You can see all kinds of wave patterns from that.

You want to see a weekly chart, I don't have one now. Here is an out-dated monthly chart as an example. (Note that the wave count has been changed.)

hunting · 发表于 2011-8-26 02:02 PM

谢谢，周末愉快

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-26 03:05 PM

回复 snowrider 的帖子

這一波混明顯在走 abc

這 wave-c 下週將破上去

silkway · 发表于 2011-8-26 11:39 PM

snowrider 发表于 2011-8-26 16:05
回复 snowrider 的帖子

這一波混明顯在走 abc

What is s&p target? Thanks.

大牛Steve · 发表于 2011-8-27 12:01 AM

本帖最后由大牛Steve 于 2011-8-27 21:22 编辑

是不是这样数得比较合理？

wyjhyd · 发表于 2011-8-27 12:07 AM

大牛Steve · 发表于 2011-8-27 05:49 AM

[A]走完花费了16周，其中的A.c至B.c走了3周。
[B]浪的周期与[A]波相比较，最短也得有三分之一的[A]浪时间完成。
也就是有一个月复杂多重浪上下翻覆振荡，不应该这么快就去[B]浪wave-c 。
比较日线图的大波段反弹周期，可以得到这个印象。
这段时间只能观望。

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-27 11:26 AM

大牛Steve 发表于 2011-8-27 00:01
是不是这样数得比较合理？

大牛
輝常好
就是這樣

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-27 11:28 AM

silkway 发表于 2011-8-26 23:39
What is s&p target? Thanks.

偶才剛起床
還沒看
等會

aimei · 发表于 2011-8-27 12:44 PM

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-27 01:51 PM

aimei 发表于 2011-8-27 12:44

aimei ...

hunting · 发表于 2011-8-27 02:41 PM

等老大上图，，，有个提议，老大也弄一个数波浪炒股学习群，让我们这些对波浪感兴趣的新手可以每天跟老大学习，数好波浪对交易很有帮助，但毕竟波浪难数阿，容易数错，老大觉得如何？？，谢谢老大，周末愉快，，

snowrider · 发表于 2011-8-27 03:19 PM

hunting 发表于 2011-8-27 14:41
等老大上图，，，有个提议，老大也弄一个数波浪炒股学习群，让我们这些对波浪感兴趣的新手可以每天跟老大学 ...

偶以前有在 DQ 設個組群
結果沒甚麼人理會
到最後變得像是
偶在跟自己講話
http://groups.wenxuecity.com/gro ... mp;SubID=forum_0001
現在越來越懶
盤中大部分時間
偶在 YYB 混
若跟的人多
比較有意思

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[技术分析] Perfect Wave - 2011-Q3

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