★ 瞎子摸象：美股微观与宏观 ★

多吉

out of long hedge now, will wait 9:55AM Consumer Sentiment report to decide next move.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 09:50 AM

Released on 7/24/2009 9:55:00 AM For July, 2009
                                           Prior        Consensus        Consensus Range        Actual
Sentiment Index - Level           64.6         65.0                   64.0  to 68.0             66.0

Not bad

Not too good either

Let's see how mkt reacts to it...




Market Consensus Before Announcement
The Reuter's/University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index in mid-July fell more than 6 points to 64.6. The expectations component index fell more than 8 points in July to 60.9. The current conditions index also fell, declining nearly 3 points to 70.4. Recent news on the economy has been a little better with equities rebounding and initial jobless claims coming down. But the recent jump in the unemployment rate may still be at the forefront of consumer worries.

Definition
The University of Michigan's Consumer Survey Center questions 500 households each month on their financial conditions and attitudes about the economy. Consumer sentiment is directly related to the strength of consumer spending. Consumer confidence and consumer sentiment are two ways of talking about consumer attitudes. Among economic reports, consumer sentiment refers to the Michigan survey while consumer confidence refers to The Conference Board's survey.

buctusa

Good or bad?

Released on 7/24/2009 9:55:00 AM For July, 2009
                                           Prior        Consensus        Consensus Range        Actual
Sentiment Index - Level           64.6         65.0                   64.0  to 68.0               6 ...
多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 09:58

imegy

消费者信心下降到最低，今天低点会在哪里？还是下午一点？ [
b] 340# dara

superxy

开了个中间，全靠MM决定了....

imegy

343# imegy

lowest since April

ccfly

Ding

多吉

out of long hedge now, will wait 9:55AM Consumer Sentiment report to decide next move.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 09:50 AM

watch out Qs move at 38.75,

it's a pivot to up or down side.

bucks

thanks a lot for update

flying_bird

will you add more shorts Qs after it breaks 38.75? thanks.

多吉

will you add more shorts Qs after it breaks 38.75? thanks.
flying_bird 发表于 2009-7-24 10:11 AM

shorted Qs at 39.01
stop loss set at 39.07

多吉

shorted Qs at 39.01
stop loss set at 39.07


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 10:34 AM

dropped stop loss for today's short position to 38.98

haohh9

ding

buctusa

Today I feel the mkt will close at LOD

多吉

dropped stop loss for today's short position to 38.98


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 10:41 AM

It feels that it's being cursed to make trades public...

QQQQ from 38.89 rose to 38.99, and drop back down to 38.84.

多吉

Today I feel the mkt will close at LOD
buctusa 发表于 2009-7-24 10:50 AM

QQQQ 5min is making a break-out triangle again,
the next direction is yet to be clear with volume.

戒急用忍

谢谢你！

It feels that it's being cursed to make trades public...

QQQQ from 38.89 rose to 38.99, and drop back down to 38.84.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 09:56

maimait

I appreciate your sharing, I can't do it because it is too fast for me.

It feels that it's being cursed to make trades public...

QQQQ from 38.89 rose to 38.99, and drop back down to 38.84.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 10:56

bear!

thanks for sharing your thinking and operation

sioc

thanks

多吉

QQQQ 5min is making a break-out triangle again,
the next direction is yet to be clear with volume.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 10:59 AM

I'm in Qs at 38.93 for long to hedge again...
The market is resisting to downside pressure.