★ 瞎子摸象：美股微观与宏观 ★

多吉

The TA lies in nowhere but XII right now.
Expect it hits 473 to do a broadening formation.

I'm thinking to hedge my shorts today...


多吉 发表于 2009-7-22 02:09 PM

XII day's high is 473.37 as I expected yesterday, which is right at the top of XII's expanded triangle.

With negative news from MSFT/AMZN tonight, I don't expect Qs home run is going any further.

If that gets proved true, XII's long standing credibility will be again validated.

For me, it's still a hard thing to be disciplined in trading although vision needs to be polished too.

For now, I must talk less...

jsl

319# 多吉


TA is CRAB

soulvirus

这个crab是河蟹？和谐？还是喝泻

319# 多吉


TA is CRAB
jsl 发表于 2009-7-23 17:40

maimait

Come on, DJ, you are still the best. No one expect you to be right at perfect timing. TA is all about statics, your decision is well justified. If it is 51% of time right, then it is the right move compared with 49% winning rate moves, right?

XII day's high is 473.37 as I expected yesterday, which is right at the top of XII's expanded triangle.

With negative news from MSFT/AMZN tonight, I don't expect Qs home run is going any furthe ...
多吉 发表于 2009-7-23 17:33

happylux

319# 多吉


who said TA is crap? 给他一个flying kick.

bucks

super PF DuoJi. In addition to the TA skills, the plan, confidence, execution, management and hedging are so well-done. Actually, I learned most from your posts in this strong rally round on how to handle when seemingly counter-trend.

I still hold my shorts and add a bit more today, thanks to DJ. I have been expecting a big drop next week, but still can't resist and entered shorts too early.

huaxue09

看了多吉的帖子,赶在8:00 EST前处理了QQQQ的空仓在38.8,我空在39.31.本想明天可能会有大跌,看了帖子觉得还是现在COVER的好.明天再看情况.

多吉

It's safe to say that a gap down open is well expected tomorrow.
But the momentum could push market a bit higher after initial dip.

I'll sell into that little pop and short more QQQQ.

AMZN/MSFT both down -8% in AH.
It feels like a pre-calculated trigger.

The higher it rises, the harder it crashes.
多吉 发表于 2009-7-23 04:58 PM

港股O/N涨＋225，竟然一举收在20K之上的20024（愕凛凛愕死），
这波大涨HSI已劲升2878点，两周涨幅高达16.8%（一路发）。

美股今天没什么重要ER，属于消息清淡的一天，适合装甲拉抬。
09:55AM发布Consumer Sentiment，数据上八成会有改善。

FUTURE        CHANGE       

DJI                  +33（今早一直在走强）
SPX                  +2.8（今早一直在走强）
NDX                  +0.5（今早唯一走软的指数）

开盘gap down大概是没戏了，但是如果有gap up，是否还会
像这两周以来那样可持续？我会重点观察SP 992-995，没准黑
老大一抽筋，收盘站上1000，让熊熊们晕头转向找不着北。。。

估计MSFT/AMZN昨晚的ER会给NAZ很大的重压。
但是疯牛的惯性力也可以暂时把它推到新高。
DJI/SPX到高位时，要空就空Qs/NDX。

外汇市场欧元兑美元涨了，能源(XLE)资源(XME)会有良好表现。

小咪

328# 多吉

开小差

thx,ding

weigoodone01

duo laoda, do you think that we still have a chance to see SPY 920 again within one month?

多吉

duo laoda, do you think that we still have a chance to see SPY 920 again within one month?
weigoodone01 发表于 2009-7-24 08:23 AM

Yes, I do.

But further dip below 920 is limited given the landsliding change in TA point of view.

weigoodone01

Yes, I do.

But further dip below 920 is limited given the landsliding change in TA point of view.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 09:14

Thx !

OrangeTea

快晕倒了，总算跌了点。。。

多吉

Just found out that my QQQQ limit buy order was taken at 38.72 (day's pivot).

Haha, who said TA is crap? It all depends where you look at...

I covered half of my total shorts at QQQQ 38.80-38.83 in AH.
These are all of shorts I built today, the rest 50% is under water.
Qs limit buy at 38.79-38.82 got filled too,
I want some long to hedge.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-23 05:17 PM

Just set Qs stop at 38.93 for long position.
QQQQ popped up to 39.08 at open...

dara

Just set Qs stop at 38.93 for long position.
QQQQ popped up to 39.08 at open...


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 09:35

MM pumping AAPL again.

If AAPL doesnot drop, QQQQ hard to drop big

tryittry

335# 多吉


WSLD!
Thanks alot!

多吉

Just set Qs stop at 38.93 for long position.
QQQQ popped up to 39.08 at open...


多吉 发表于 2009-7-24 09:35 AM

out of long hedge now, will wait 9:55AM Consumer Sentiment report to decide next move.

fivethree

335# 多吉


WSLD!
Thanks alot!
tryittry 发表于 2009-7-24 09:40

what's mean WSLD?  我是老大？？？

dara

damn, I really should buy BIDU yesterday AH at 323, a 9% now.

MY 6th sense worked so well recently.

Tuesady I tried to bid ISRG calls but did not get fill for a damn 10 cents.