07/15/2010 白天灌水

Cobra

Hmm, looks like TOP can be a flat too. New pattern?
jWishbone 发表于 2010-7-15 12:52

    有Rectangle Top的说法，胜率是32%，所以为什么我不提这个。我只提胜率高的那一面。

yingying

06/22那个顶，记得吧？也是这么一直盘整到收盘，暴跌。当时，我还据此认为不会下破，开开心心的出 ...
Cobra 发表于 2010-7-15 12:47

hehe, I think today is a good chance to buy if you do not have any chips.

jWishbone

我内心的希望是今天涨上去，呵呵。
Cobra 发表于 2010-7-15 12:50

    Same here. Now I regret I did not get out my long yesterday or early this morning. My indicator gave a warning yesterday, but I tried to ignore it.

brcm

下破后的盘整，方向未定。等着吧。
Cobra 发表于 2010-7-15 10:25

    ..............老蛇。。这个盘整的range是多少点到多少点之间？

Cobra

hehe, I think today is a good chance to buy if you do not have any chips.
yingying 发表于 2010-7-15 12:54

    今天牛熊最后还难说，目前看起来想是牛旗。我不猜，破下去，我就熊。涨上去，我看情况牛。

tonyshen

回复 231# Cobra


   

QWE

what if VIX is like 6/4-6/8? only up 3 days? I think it's still too early to say. Today's drop n ...
yingying 发表于 2010-7-15 12:51

VIX今天已经连续上涨3天了，要知道是从VIX23触底反弹上涨的，VIX23是重要支撑，上一次VIX跌到23后反弹，就引起很大一波股市大跌，在这个重要关口反弹连续三天，表明一个新的趋势已经形成，如果真的象你说的，马上会翻转，也要先跌回VIX23，并在23附近徘徊一周，才有可能下破

Cobra

..............老蛇。。这个盘整的range是多少点到多少点之间？
brcm 发表于 2010-7-15 12:56

    图中的上下两根蓝线。

yingying

今天牛熊最后还难说，目前看起来想是牛旗。我不猜，破下去，我就熊。涨上去，我看情况牛。
Cobra 发表于 2010-7-15 12:58

yes, bears only hope is tomorrow gap down below 1080, but I really doubt that.

jWishbone

有Rectangle Top的说法，胜率是32%，所以为什么我不提这个。我只提胜率高的那一面。
Cobra 发表于 2010-7-15 12:54

    Thanks, Cobra. I will pray then, though I already got sell signal this morning.

abaqus

2nd time EMA testing
DT bull should have more to go...

brcm

图中的上下两根蓝线。
Cobra 发表于 2010-7-15 10:59

    ....看到蓝线勒。。就是看不到具体的点数。。。。。

yingying

VIX今天已经连续上涨3天了，要知道是从VIX23触底反弹上涨的，VIX23是重要支撑，上一次VIX跌到23后反弹， ...
QWE 发表于 2010-7-15 12:59

let's see.

Cobra

yes, bears only hope is tomorrow gap down below 1080, but I really doubt that.
yingying 发表于 2010-7-15 13:00

明天seasonality熊：

July Expiration Day, Dow down 6 of last 9, off 390 pints (4.6%) in 2002.

下周seasonality熊：

Week after July expiration, Dow down 7 of last 11, 2007 -4.2%, 2008 -4.3%

QWE

yes, bears only hope is tomorrow gap down below 1080, but I really doubt that.
yingying 发表于 2010-7-15 13:00

其实BEAR希望的是明天高开，SP1090，呵呵，那才是跳上熊车的最后机会

Cobra

....看到蓝线勒。。就是看不到具体的点数。。。。。
brcm 发表于 2010-7-15 13:02

    就是今天的intraday low

xiaochong

对，老实说，我觉得胜率重要，别听那些书本上说的，你gain loss ratio是2，你赚1单，输2单，你还 ...
Cobra 发表于 2010-7-15 12:35

只能这样顶了，太好了

yingying

其实BEAR希望的是明天高开，SP1090，呵呵，那才是跳上熊车的最后机会
QWE 发表于 2010-7-15 13:02

hehe, if tomorrow gap down below 1080, I would be a bear instantly. But if gap up above 1090, why be a bear?
Let's see tonight how China goes, many important data would be out tonight.

abaqus

Great! Target 1 reached!

happyface

只能这样顶了，太好了
xiaochong 发表于 2010-7-15 13:04

    换个新的行吗?老是这个.