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楼主: 多吉

[原创] ★ 瞎子摸象:美股微观与宏观 ★

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发表于 2009-7-23 12:46 PM | 显示全部楼层


nnd, 借不到股票
只好上反指了
TD特色
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-7-23 12:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
thank you!
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发表于 2009-7-23 12:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
Monthly

---- $SPX.X ----
ema10 950.844
ema12 973.419
ema20 1056.63
sma20 1104.77

---- $INDU ----

ema10  8877.8
ema12  9076.3
ema20  9772.1
sma20 10240

----$COMPX ----
ema10  1810.26
ema12  1836.33
ema20  1945.65
sma20  2006.22 <----- here ?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-23 01:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
Monthly

---- $SPX.X ----
ema10 950.844
ema12 973.419
ema20 1056.63
sma20 1104.77

---- $INDU ----

ema10  8877.8
ema12  9076.3
ema20  9772.1
sma20 10240

----$COMPX ----
ema10  1810.2 ...
haobuhao 发表于 2009-7-23 01:48 PM



I'm thinking about unloading all of today's QS short.
13 is the charm, those ws folks treat it as a lucky #.
QQQQ could run up straight for 13 days again...


2009.07.23 SPX 1yr Weekly Trendline.png
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发表于 2009-7-23 01:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
I'm thinking about unloading all of today's QS short.
13 is the charm, those ws folks treat it as a lucky #.
QQQQ could run up straight for 13 days again...


多吉 发表于 2009-7-23 14:29



Then why do not wait for 14th day?

But true today could close HoD and tomorrow may continue up somewhat.
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发表于 2009-7-23 01:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
还是做个股好些, 太多追落后了, INDEX掉不下去.
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发表于 2009-7-23 01:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
304# 多吉

DJ 兄, 我已于昨日cover了QQQQ 的short position.

Looks like the NAZ will break up 2000 a few days ahead, see today's intraday, NAZ really doesn't care a dime about Oct/2008 GAP's resistance, it marched through 1947 and even didn't back test it before it went to 1970.  I think the NAZ is quite decisive about moving up.

Besides QQQQ could be the last choice to short with, it's the bellwether of this market rebound, we might have picked the wrong target in the pack to short with.

The market might strive to trigger the ripple effect by sucking the side money to dip back in, when that happen, we can definitely see the elephant in the bath tube.

青蛙物语,Just my 2 cents.




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发表于 2009-7-23 02:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
没有等您老的指示先把srs给割了。。。
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发表于 2009-7-23 02:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
没有等您老的指示先把srs给割了。。。
戒急用忍 发表于 2009-7-23 15:08


昨日盘中VIX大跌, 今日一定不妙,这是我昨天的帖子,今天果然指数三高。我是看到VIX中午急跌时Cover 了Qs 的short.

See my blog yesterday:
http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=55659&extra=page%3D2
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发表于 2009-7-23 02:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
这个思路现在可以试试,空qqqq,用tech里的强势股的call来hedge。不过没有办法用delta来算。
any comment?
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发表于 2009-7-23 02:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
如果还是大熊市, 那这位置是顶点范围.
不然的话就是大牛市的开始了.
SPX.X 的月线 RSI(5), RSI(6), RSI(7) 显示现在处于 大熊市大牛市分界附近.

SPX.X 周线BB上沿在991.
2000年以来熊市反弹还没有顶着上沿往上走的.
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发表于 2009-7-23 02:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
不是上天就是入地, 大概如此
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发表于 2009-7-23 03:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
细瞧了一眼, SPX.X 周线BB上沿在995.88
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-23 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
还是做个股好些, 太多追落后了, INDEX掉不下去.
dara 发表于 2009-7-23 02:33 PM


I covered half of my total shorts at QQQQ 38.80-38.83 in AH.
These are all of shorts I built today, the rest 50% is under water.
Qs limit buy at 38.79-38.82 got filled too,
I want some long to hedge.

QQQQ is stabilized around 38.8 now.


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发表于 2009-7-23 03:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
haha, covered MSFT with a nice gain, now I have some free money to buy some QID calls.
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发表于 2009-7-23 03:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
AMZN, MSFT盘后大跳水,等着看吧,嘿嘿
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-23 03:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 多吉 于 2009-7-23 17:37 编辑
289# 多吉

It's safer to wait for intraday reversal or a gap down open.
colderdown 发表于 2009-7-23 01:17 PM


It's safe to say that a gap down open is well expected tomorrow.
But the momentum could push market a bit higher after initial dip.

I'll sell into that little pop and short more QQQQ.

AMZN/MSFT both down -8% in AH.
It feels like a pre-calculated trigger.

The higher it rises, the harder it crashes.


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发表于 2009-7-23 04:10 PM | 显示全部楼层


It's safe to say that a gap down open is well expected tomorrow.
But the momentum could push market a bit higher after initial dip.

I'll sell into that little pop and short more QQQQ.

AMZN/ ...
多吉 发表于 2009-7-23 16:58
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-23 04:17 PM | 显示全部楼层

39.26 stands as the top line since rally began
.
I added more Qs short @ 39.23-39.28.
Now short accounts 65% of wc.

Bot some July/Aug AAPL puts
APVTJ @ 2.11.


多吉 发表于 2009-7-23 11:27 AM


Just found out that my QQQQ limit buy order was taken at 38.72 (day's pivot).

Haha, who said TA is crap? It all depends where you look at...


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发表于 2009-7-23 04:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
靠,这个厉害。要顶

Just found out that my QQQQ limit buy order was taken at 38.72 (day's pivot).

Haha, who said TA is crap? It all depends where you look at...


多吉 发表于 2009-7-23 17:17
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