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发表于 2010-8-6 09:30 AM
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班长,问个问题,今天10:30以后有了新低,应当是个TREND DAY了,有没有什么理论可以说明日内或下周还会有L ...
wyemlyy 发表于 2010-8-6 11:20 
Form sentimentrader:
The focus today will be on reactions to this morning's Payroll report, which came in significantly weaker than expected, driving short-term Treasury yields to new record lows and stocks below yesterday's lows (or very close to it). When we've seen this kind of reaction in the past, coming off similar conditions, it has usually resulted in at least another day or two of selling pressure (see below), and if we do gap down about where we're indicated to now (around 1114 on the S&P, just below yesterday's low), and we see a lower intraday low after the first hour of trading, then my guess is we'll get that additional weakness and at least challenge the 1100 area yet again in the day(s) ahead. The good thing for the bulls is that severe reactions (on a closing basis) to Payrolls reports tend to be relatively short-lived affairs as the market focuses on the next big thing, and next Tuesday we do have a FOMC meeting, which often spurs at least a little optimism. So based on the currently indicated gap, and assuming a lower intraday low after the first hour (a big assumption, granted), I'll be watching for a possible closing of the gap from Monday into early next week. |
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