03/23/2010 白天灌水

xiaoyaoxl

vix是测量votality的，跌到一定程度就跌不下了

如果大盘每天震，即使天天上，vix也不一定跌

waterwater

MM纵牛过度。。。
QuickHand 发表于 2010-3-23 12:31

    One of the show from 08 support by wallstreet .What is the good deal 08 with wallstreet?
Time will tall people everything.

optionplay

怎么突然有种风雨欲来的感觉，是不是要收衣服了

CoolMax

how far away spx from new high?
Simpletrader 发表于 2010-3-23 12:48 PM

Less than one point.

lwjnbtx

haha, yes.

I looked at the 5 year chart, in 2006-2007, VIX around ~10 for a long time.
...
dara 发表于 2010-3-23 12:46

Indeed, Oct. Nov.  2006 VIX was as low as 7.5%, and till Feb 2007, it kept under 10% for 5 long months, when the SPY smoothly moved up from 117 (which is the current level) to 136 without any meaningful dip.

waterwater

灌水! 灌, 灌, 灌!

CoolMax

EMA50缠斗

lwjnbtx

On Feb 27, 2007, SPY dropped 4%, from 136.04 to 130.73and VIX upped from 8.65% to 13.90%.

CoolMax

On Feb 27, 2007, SPY dropped 4%, from 136.04 to 130.73and VIX upped from 8.65% to 13.90%.
lwjnbtx 发表于 2010-3-23 01:01 PM

VIX有单位吗？

abaqus

vix是测量votality的，跌到一定程度就跌不下了

如果大盘每天震，即使天天上，vix也不一定跌
xiaoyaoxl 发表于 2010-3-23 12:52

    girl got more votes...

dara

On Feb 27, 2007, SPY dropped 4%, from 136.04 to 130.73and VIX upped from 8.65% to 13.90%.
lwjnbtx 发表于 2010-3-23 13:01

    Anyway, We can not say market is topped based on VIX value.

In bull market, it could stay at a low value forever.

If market move like this for another month, I am sure it will dip into single digital.

CoolMax

真是博傻游戏啊。

CoolMax

Smarter Guys suffering！

dara

真是博傻游戏啊。
CoolMax 发表于 2010-3-23 13:16

    why? you think it is close to top?

I am afraid maybe this is the begin of the true bull market

abaqus

small pig head agreed that vix是测量votality的...
also a low VIX means the potential market rally is small...
....
so we still have some upside room, but it will be slow and limited...

lwjnbtx

VIX有单位吗？
CoolMax 发表于 2010-3-23 13:07

  I messed up, what I wanted to say was, the historical volatility for SPY ................

CoolMax

why? you think it is close to top?

I am afraid maybe this is the begin of the true bull ...
dara 发表于 2010-3-23 01:17 PM

Partially, I agree with you, we can't rule out true bull market.

Up to date, buy & hold works perfectly!

You don't need know any TA, you don't need know any FA. so I feel lost by writing market review everyday.

Only mistake you should avoid is to buy Short ETF, other than that, you would be doing Great.

dara

small pig head agreed that vix是测量votality的...
also a low VIX means the potential market rally i ...
abaqus 发表于 2010-3-23 13:19

    When VIX is low for a long time, it usually happens in the middle of bull market run.

dara

Up to date, buy & hold works perfectly!

You don't need know any TA, you don't need know any F ...
CoolMax 发表于 2010-3-23 13:20

    Yes,, but too later to join the party now.

abaqus

When VIX is low for a long time, it usually happens in the middle of bull market run.
dara 发表于 2010-3-23 13:21

   

yes, inch up everyday, but slow...
correction is a dip...
buy & hold will be (and alredy) a good game strategy...