Perfect Wave - 2011-Q4

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-15 06:42 PM

本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2011-12-15 18:42 编辑

偶賭明天大漲
開盤一跳就開在今天的 day high 上面
所有想做多頭的都沒有便宜的機會了

cat2011 · 发表于 2011-12-15 07:17 PM

Thank you!!!

NYQ · 发表于 2011-12-15 07:20 PM

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-17 06:44 PM

12/17/2011

Comments are welcome!

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2011-12-18 12:49 AM

maopao · 发表于 2011-12-18 12:45 PM

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-18 02:26 PM

So the basic impression is: we will find a bottom soon (it may have been there, or a little lower than last week's low), and go up to pass the MA 200.

Just wonder why you ignore the possibility to break down from the current big triangle (breaking 1200).
...

yupek - I assume that you are talking about SP. Yes, it could break "the current big triangle" (as I believe that anything is possible). I did not mean to ignore that scenario, but I just did not want to draw a spiderweb on the chart to include all possible scenarios. You might want to ask why I favor those up scenarios over down scenarios? Last week's low is 50% pullback, and 1200 area is 61.8% pullback. There is no reason to assume that the market is weakening and going down before some key fibonacci ratios stop working.

cat2011 · 发表于 2011-12-18 11:03 PM

Thank you for your update

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-19 01:38 AM

偶現在期指是謹慎做空因為偶認為這是最後下殺且多頭隨時會展開但偶是不得不做空因為若不空它若他繼續下跌那麼偶就變成乾瞪眼所以偶才被迫不得不謹慎做空

偶其實仍然看多大漲甚至心想關機睡覺後明天一早起來股市是向上跳空開盤的因為偶認為市場的上漲是在等一個壞消息下殺而今天這個就是那個壞消息所以市場將用這壞消息來展開多頭

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-20 07:56 PM

破萬了

maopao · 发表于 2011-12-20 08:10 PM

回复 snowrider 的帖子

GX GX!

cat2011 · 发表于 2011-12-21 08:10 PM

any update?

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-21 08:17 PM

回复 cat2011 的帖子

cat2011 - 謝謝關注妳知偶是極端看多的以下是看法:
若真和感恩節走法一樣
禮拜1 - 收低點
禮拜2 - 跳空開高發動
禮拜3 (今天) - 頓一頓
這一搞不好
禮拜4 (明天) 就飛上去打穿200MA

cat2011 · 发表于 2011-12-21 08:24 PM

Thanks. I have 40% long, 60% cash.

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-21 09:17 PM

cat2011 发表于 2011-12-21 20:24
Thanks. I have 40% long, 60% cash.

cat2011 - That is a good allocation. 偶基本上與妳的類似偶現在長線股票多頭倉位一直沒變(自從上次倉位報告後) 短線偶則持有期指多頭長線倉位沒變因為偶看股市明年會很不好所以偶不再加碼長線多頭

2011-11-23
http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod ... 9&fromuid=17450
持倉報告:
股票長線多頭倉: 51%
Cash: 49%

vanbj · 发表于 2011-12-21 09:23 PM

thanks for the update!

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-22 01:09 AM

偶忘了提到一點
既然假設妹妹做盤手法和感恩節走法一模一樣
那大家還記不記得在頓一頓之後是如何走的?
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股市開盤是跳一個超大洞上去的基本上是不讓空手的人有上車機會

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-22 02:32 PM

大家知道為何今天沒有跳一個超大洞上去開盤?

是否要大膽買入
這其實是智慧的判斷

妹妹想想要上跳必須一跳就過柵欄
所以妹妹恢常聰明
妹妹知道若一跳沒過卻又跳很高必然會引起燒盤
所以妹妹開個小高盤再慢慢爬升
最後萬一今天收高那妳就知道妹妹接下來要幹甚麼
柵欄已近輕鬆一跳就過關

結論是:
是否要大膽買入
這其實是智慧的判斷

cat2011 · 发表于 2011-12-22 08:22 PM

Thank you for your update

snowrider · 发表于 2011-12-22 08:57 PM

cat2011 发表于 2011-12-22 20:22
Thank you for your update

cat2011 - 謝謝關注恭喜賺錢以後就這樣有人問偶就答沒人問偶就休息好不?

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[技术分析] Perfect Wave - 2011-Q4

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