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楼主: QQQ

11/5 实时解盘 - upside 20 downside 40

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发表于 2008-11-5 03:36 PM | 显示全部楼层


looks the 960 cannot be held today.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 03:36 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 gardener2000 于 2008-11-5 15:22 发表 So you think the Market will still test upside to 1030 in the next few days if it holds 960 today?

 

need find a reason why mkt should move to 1030 from here,

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发表于 2008-11-5 03:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
Q, what will happen if 960 was broken.
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发表于 2008-11-5 03:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
Looks like we are heading for -500. QQQ, how do you judge this is heading for downturn or it just a pull back for another rush up? Thanks!
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 03:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
remember mkt close is by PRO, see 960 on SPX
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 03:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
960 is the line they can not loss
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发表于 2008-11-5 03:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
960 will hold
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发表于 2008-11-5 03:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
Head for 960 close
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 03:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
looks like last attempt for 960 failed, I'd think if nothing happens tonight, we will see 940 tomorrow, if mkt can not close above 960 today
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发表于 2008-11-5 03:56 PM | 显示全部楼层

 

原帖由 torontonian 于 2008-11-5 15:49 发表 960 will hold

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发表于 2008-11-5 03:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
今天就见940?
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发表于 2008-11-5 04:01 PM | 显示全部楼层

回复 189# QQQ 的帖子

How do you reach at 940 not 930 or 920? Just curious.
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发表于 2008-11-5 04:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
Lost 5 points today.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 04:04 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 gardener2000 于 2008-11-5 16:01 发表 How do you reach at 940 not 930 or 920? Just curious.

 

940 area had large vol support on the way up.

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发表于 2008-11-5 04:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
If 15MIN AFTER 4 o'clock, SPX go back 960. Is it OK or any meaningful? Thanks
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发表于 2008-11-5 04:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
Let's see if CSCO earning can save the market for tomorrow or not.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 04:12 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 igloo 于 2008-11-5 16:01 发表 Lost 5 points today.

 

here is what I did, still good day, even I was too nice I didn't short in 96's because I thought 960 should hold. Being a nice person is pretty hard, huh .

I also had GS, FSLR shorts and SPY puts loaded yesterday, all covered 96's area. too bad I left a lot on the table, even I judge the trend right, right at open. see SPX chart I posted. But I didn't expect such a wash off last few minutes.

 

985 long exit 998, 13 points gain

998 short exit 976, 12 points gain

973 long stoped out 970, 3 points loss

970 long stopped out 969, 1 points loss

 

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 04:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
if ECB cut rate tonight, it will save us from slip down to 940 area.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 04:15 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 uni007 于 2008-11-5 16:07 发表 If 15MIN AFTER 4 o'clock, SPX go back 960. Is it OK or any meaningful? Thanks

 

if it could close at 960, that meant A LOT difference on the trend than close at 952.

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发表于 2008-11-5 04:16 PM | 显示全部楼层

回复 197# QQQ 的帖子

Feel you set the stop loss very tight. In bear market, this is the key. Be careful whenever you want to long, this is a bear market, banks are still in trouble. Here is a bear's view. Oppenheimer's Meredith Whitney, on CNBC, says we are going start to see contraction in the overall mortgage market because banks aren't lending For the credit card industry, we are going to see over $2 trln of available credit lines pulled out of the system. Thinks C, UBS, WFC, JPM, BAC all have room to come down. Says estimates are coming down dramatically on those names says no one is immune. Believes that the banks come back for capital in the next 9 months. Believes some will cut their dividends again. Thinks C trades into the single digits. Says WFC at $20 looks like a very attractive co. Says C could find a 'mate' as long as there is a government backstop.
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