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SPY SETUP |
ENTRY DATE |
STOP LOSS |
INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU |
Non-Stop |
08/16 S |
N/A |
For general direction guide only. |
ST Model |
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| | *Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
SEASONALITY: NO UPDATE
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: STATISTICS ARE BEARISH
See 08/20 Market Recap and 08/24 Market Recap for more details.
SHORT-TERM: UP TOMORROW, BUT DOWN THIS WEEK AND NEXT WEEK?
今天没有什么铁证,只有两个speculation,当笑话看看好啦。
昨天说了,08/25是不是bottom,要看今天有没有follow-through,可惜今天没有。那么是不是就肯定08/25不是bottom呢。下面的图是最近bottom的pattern(谢谢google同志提醒!),bullish reversal day followed by Dark Cloud Cover,第三天,也就是明天,似乎都是高开高走。问题是第四次会不会不一样?Anyway,短期是否见底了,还要看明天,这个应该没有异议吧?
下面这个图,我在08/20 Market Recap里提到,本周如果red,那要小心本年度的第一个4 consecutive down weeks,换句话说,本周red,那么下周很可能也red。目前看,除非明天出现奇迹,否则本周是red的可能性很大。
6.5.2c Week Seasonality Watch是下周可能red的一道保险,因为似乎最近每个月的最后一周bearish的几率比较高(Stockcharts是把下周算成八月的最后一个交易周的,不是九月的第一个交易周)。
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.
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