股市诊脉 8-25-2010 by 游击队长 Oversold bounce

ypm968

Oversold bounce

经济数据不好，开盘跳空下跌，S&P碰到1040的重要支撑，有人抄底，带动short covering， 做了个intraday reversal最后收绿。 S&P最后半小时碰到mini channel resistance line, 刚好也是这波下跌的Fib 50%拉回。 明天的weekly initial claims好坏决定股市走向。

Trading strategies
1. Swing trade for DUMMIES - sell short signal triggered on Aug. 11
2. Guerrilla trend channel - sell short signal triggered on Aug. 11

windy

thanks

rosyrosy

开小差

thx, ding

匪兵甲

Thanks, DuiZhang! Will you short if the market goes up to some point where, let's say, spy  gets around 107? Thanks.

maomi

southware

谢队长

ypm968

Thanks, DuiZhang! Will you short if the market goes up to some point where, let's say, spy  gets aro ...
匪兵甲 发表于 2010-8-25 16:03

    Yes, I will short it near channel resistance line or S&H neckline

oda

thanks

zhyuan04

SP1070 should be a good short entry point,however it may not bounce that far.

Thanks, DuiZhang! Will you short if the market goes up to some point where, let's say, spy  gets aro ...
匪兵甲 发表于 2010-8-25 21:03

yaobooyao

这里是ES 的图，现在还在头肩顶的颈线下方。

因为1050 过去扮演过几次反弹的起跑线，这里有个技术反弹是应该的。多高就不知道了，马上就要回测颈线阻力了。

wnd4

thanks

zhyuan04

基本支持，但是你这个颈线划得有点太高了。颈线应该在1065左右

这里是ES 的图，现在还在头肩顶的颈线下方。

因为1050 过去扮演过几次反弹的起跑线，这里有个技术反弹是 ...
yaobooyao 发表于 2010-8-25 21:31

匪兵甲

Yes, I will short it near channel resistance line or S&H neckline
ypm968 发表于 2010-8-25 21:10

    Thanks alot!
Ding DuiZhang!!

acoust

yaobooyao

基本支持，但是你这个颈线划得有点太高了。颈线应该在1065左右
zhyuan04 发表于 2010-8-25 21:38

去年股市爆牛的时候，我记得头肩顶颈线失败做过多次bear trap（经典的那个就是GS）大盘都是转头北上。

这次又到了头肩顶颈线，同时也是头肩底右肩，到底谁说了算？目前不详。

不过，我的SWING TRADE 还没有看到买入信号，还是老老实实看着。

匪兵甲

SP1070 should be a good short entry point,however it may not bounce that far.
zhyuan04 发表于 2010-8-25 21:29

    I feel the same, it may not get that far, although it would be nice if it does get close to 1070...

abaqus

ypm968

这里是ES 的图，现在还在头肩顶的颈线下方。

因为1050 过去扮演过几次反弹的起跑线，这里有个技术反弹是 ...
yaobooyao 发表于 2010-8-25 16:31

ypm968

SP1070 should be a good short entry point,however it may not bounce that far.
zhyuan04 发表于 2010-8-25 16:29