07/27/2010 大盘回顾 （Key Day Tomorrow）

Cobra

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT Long-term 1 of 2 are SELL     Intermediate 3 of 3 are BUY 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode Short-term Model is BUY 3 of 5 are OVERBOUGHT Long on 07/23, hold partial overnight. GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE CONCLUSION 07/27 07/25 / 07/23 07/26, 07/31, 08/02 Next pivot date: 07/26 – 08/03

BULLISH BEARISH 0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Overbought. T2122 overbought.

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU Non-Stop 07/15 L N/A Be sure to check 8.2.2a to 8.2.2g to understand the risks. ST Model 07/20 L Breakeven

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.

SEASONALITY: THE LAST TRADING WEEK OF RECENT MONTH WAS GENERALLY BEARISH

See 07/23 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: KEY WEEK THIS WEEK

Key week this week, as multiple pivot dates are due until 08/03. The market may turn down on any of those pivot dates to at least test the 07/01 low. However if the market simply keeps rising during this time window, then most likely the same March 2010 mad cow is back. See 07/23 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: KEY DAY TOMORROW

 

今天没啥好说的，看下面的图，如果明天大涨，则mad cow ahead，如果明天是Doji或者下跌，则pullback已经开始了。至于这个pullback是start of a 2nd leg down，还是短期回调，则要看回调的强度再说。所以，看明天吧。

 

 

下面的图是自2009三月以来所有SPY Bearish Reversal Day的情况，从图上看，还从来没有过2 Bearish Reversal Day failed in a row的情况，因此今天的Bearish Reversal Bar感觉不是很好。

 

 

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ	UP	4.1.1 Nasdaq 100 Index (Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target 1565.
IWM	UP
CHINA	UP
EMERGING	UP	4.1.6 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM Weekly): Bear Flag?; EEM:$SPX too high.
EUROPEAN	UP	4.1.7 Vanguard European VIPERs (VGK Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $35.45; Bear Flag?
CANADA	DOWN	4.1.5 iShares CDN S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (XIU.TO Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $15.30.
BOND	UP
EURO	UP
GOLD	DOWN	4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99.
GDX	DOWN
OIL	UP	4.4.0 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO Weekly): Bear Flag?
ENERGY	UP	4.4.1 Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $43.14.
FINANCIALS	DOWN
REITS	UP
MATERIALS	UP

ht008

sf

Scorpion

bandeng

福多多

happyface

thanks

nanosensor

Ding!

n748

ding yixia

sooners

回复 1# Cobra


   

oldfox

n748

回复 1# Cobra


    Thanks LD for early report. Even though it's quite convincing for a pullback, I dare not call for one since who can stand before FED.

I has been wrong for a long time on the short side. too slow to realize the power of being politically correct. The theme is buying dip, instead of selling on top. There is no top, but obviously FED will do anything to defend 1000.

Go with FED, instead of go with the trend. This is no longer a free market. It's a US version of Chinese stock market, where gov has completely controlled where to go.

AGA7d

涨了几天，收这么点红很正常吧，明天再跌一点也没关系。苹果盘了几天，今天
发力了，大盘也可能学苹果，先盘一下再上。

slcgh

谢谢班长！

leftright

pig2006

谢谢班长!

overdrunk

X中国陆军

t-k

tonyshen

H@T

Diver

回复 1# Cobra