06/14/2010 大盘回顾 （Bull's Guardian Angel）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in SELL mode Short-term 2 of 2 are BUY 5 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in SELL mode GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE & TIME FIB CONCLUSION 06/11-06/14 06/12 / 06/21 07/31, 08/20-08/23 Next pivot date: 06/11-06/14.

BULLISH 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: Bottomed? 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high. 8.1.1 Normalized NATV/NYTV: Bottomed? 6.3.2c Major Distribution Day Watch: Bottomed? 6.3.1 Major Accumulation Day Watch: Bottomed? 05/28 Market Recap: II survey shows too many people are expecting a correction. 0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: CPC MA(5) too high. BEARISH 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: Ascending Broadening Wedge? Target: 1008 to 1019. 0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Positive divergence missing, so one more down leg ahead? CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model 06/04 S 1.9xATR(10) Reversal Bar     *Short if SPY tomorrow’s open > tomorrow’s close. The stop loss will be 0.9 x ATR(10), if you need it to calculate the position size. NYMO Sell     Non-Stop(RSP) 05/11 S N/A Partial profit on 05/28. OTHER ETFs TREND *DTFMS COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ DOWN *BUY IWM DOWN *BUY CHINA DOWN EMERGING *UP BUY EUROPEAN *UP BUY 4.1.7 Vanguard European VIPERs (VGK Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $35.54. CANADA DOWN *BUY BOND UP SELL EURO DOWN *BUY GOLD UP 4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99. GDX UP OIL UP BUY ENERGY UP BUY FINANCIALS DOWN *BUY REITS *UP *BUY MATERIALS DOWN BUY

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.

SEASONALITY: A LITTLE BIT BULLISH ON JUNE TRIPLE WITCHING WEEK

See 06/11 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLS HAVE HOPES BUT STILL SOME BEARISH PUZZLES UNRESOLVED

See 06/11 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: CHART DOESN’T LOOK GOOD

 

今天的图不好看，open high then went higher high but eventually closed in red, forming a so called Bearish Reversal Day。看一下过去SPY形成Bearish Reversal Day后的情况（红箭头）。短期pullback或者consolidation后再pullback的几率比较大，是吧？这样的图今天有很多，有兴趣地还可以换个角度看看其他的图，比如：0.2.0 Volatility Index (Daily) and 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield。

 

 

虽然理论上，短期应该对牛牛不利，不过今天的After Bell Quick Summary提到了最近的cases，收盘前sell off的，第二天都是huge huge gap up。现在唯一的问题是，第三次，是否牛牛还有这样的运气？

 

 

结论，就是technically，对牛牛不利。不过牛牛似乎有老天保佑，最近所有的weakness都被买起，所以全看明天牛牛的Guardian Angel是否又会来了，熊熊现在还不是开香槟的时候。

 

lpal

1st page

slcgh

thanks LAODA

chfox

第一页，不错。谢谢老大分享。

cartier

fara

thx!

usamonkey

mikeqc

1st page ding

happyface

买一瓶香槟死等.

nag

福多多

现在位置偏高，前两次偏低，估计牛牛这次没那么走运了。

oda

今天好简单, 谢谢COBRA

wxp

navybean

Thanks a lot.

greenback

sooners

回复 1# Cobra


   

guoke

1st page.

hhli3

songjiang

thanks laoda

epsom

Thanks a lot