11/04/2009 大盘回顾 （3 vs 1 Bear Won?）

Cobra

Summary:

The rebound was week, 3 up days in a row couldn't recover the previous 1 day loss, therefore it could be a sellable bounce.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	*Up	Neutral	Doubt
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model		Short if 11/02 low is taken.		Officially in downtrend.
Reversal Bar
NYMO Sell	10/21 S	*Adjust Stop Loss	*11/04 High
VIX ENV

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD BE A SELLABLE BOUNCE

 

没新鲜的。熊熊的希望是6.3.2b Major Distribution Day Watch，可能有第3个Major Distribution Day。牛牛的希望是1.1.4 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals，有很多bottom信号。

 

这两天的报告大家都看到了，牛牛有足够多的理由rally sharply，不过so far the bounce was weak。7.1.0 Use n vs n Rule to Identify a Trend Change，up 3 days in a row couldn't recover the previous 1 day loss，因此看起来介是个sellable bounce。

 

Indices pair顺便看一下，leading indices still lag。TRAN昨天的大反弹是因为有Warren Buffett的好消息，不过今天并没有follow-through，所以还不能说bullish。

 

Fed. Liquidity and Foreign Liquidity Inflows from www.stocktiming.com，Fed注入的liquidity（March Rally的主要动力）减少到了关键的位置，如果跌破July的低点，那将又是一个证据证明，this time is different。俺会持续向大家报告。

 

SHORT-TERM: NO UPDATE

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

houston

yaobooyao

沙发 2

LadyLucy

牛熊

First page!

vivian7899

flyingdust

happyface

今天好早,谢谢老蛇.

hnhy

Diffusion

ysl

fara

page 1, ding

abaqus

first page! Thanks,

t-k

bendzhao

在谢老蛇~

牛熊

PacificLegend

ROOKIE2

well done

ROOKIE2

well done

ROOKIE2

well done