Summary:
Still possible the market will consolidate then pullback.
Reversal Bar setup will be triggered if we get an up day tomorrow.
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TREND |
MOMENTUM |
EMOTION |
COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table. |
Long-term |
Up |
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Disbelieve |
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Intermediate |
Up |
Neutral |
No argue |
NYSI not confirming the up trend. |
Short-term |
Up |
Neutral |
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SPY SETUP |
ENTRY DATE |
INSTRUCTION |
STOP LOSS |
Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002. |
ST Model |
10/14 L |
*Adjust Stop Loss |
*10/09 Low |
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Reversal Bar |
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*Confirmed buy if up day tomorrow. |
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NYMO Sell |
10/21 S |
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10/21 High |
Winning Rate: 59%, Gain/Loss Ratio: 4.9
Very risky trade but occasionally may catch the exact market top. |
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INTERMEDIATE-TERM: NO UPDATE
SHORT-TERM: STILL POSSIBLE THE MARKET WILL CONSOLIDATE THEN PULLBACK
The bottom line,1.1.3 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals,俺还是认为大盘有可能conlidate后pullback,也就是说repeat八月份那个篮圈圈的case。
3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily),介是俺还是看pullback的主要理由,ChiOsc太低了,前两次介么低的时候,米金都有一轮反弹行情(See dashed green lines)。此外,3.1.1 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Weekly),可以看到2008年巨大的盘整区的support,因此下跌应该不是那么容易了。
0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals,Bullish Engulfing,因此如果明天涨的话,应该会触发Reversal Bar 的trading setup。不过由于ST Model的long利润不多,很容易进水,因此俺不会follow这个setup,the trend table about this trade will be updated as usual though。
INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE
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