09/11/2009 大盘回顾 （Reversal Bar?）

Cobra

Summary:

SPX 1044 resistance is not broken but 2 intermediate-term buy signals were triggered.

A few reversal bars on different charts may mean a pullback early next week.

A SPX daily cycle was due on Thursday which could mean at least a short-term top.

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up
Intermediate	Up*	Neutral
Short-term	Up	Neutral
My Emotion	Wait		Could repeat what happened after 8/17, so be careful bears.

 

SOME INTERMEDIATE-TERM BUY SIGNALS WERE TRIGGERED

 

1.0.0 S&P 500 Large Cap Index (Weekly)，1044没有clear break out，因此还要看下周。

 

0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals，MACD and NYSI swtiched to buy，因此俺upgraded intermediate-term to up form down，不过again，negative divergence很多，牛牛还是要小心。

 

1.2.0 INDU Leads Market，for your info only，INDU没有confirm SPX的new high。介是个先有蛋还是先有鸡的问题，所以no comment，等等看吧。

 

SHORT-TERM COULD BE A PULLBACK 

 

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，开高收低，这是个bearish reversal bar，因此SPY有可能要跌。

 

2.0.0 Volatility Index (Daily)，开低走高，可能是Bullish Hammer，因此VIX有可能要涨。

 

3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily)，又是个空心红棒棒，因此米金可能要涨。3.1.2 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP 30 min)，positive divergence很多。

 

介个图是米金oversold plus reversal bar的visual back test，绿色的部分是过去的买信号。效果还不错，当然不是100% work。同样，前面说的SPY，VIX都有back test，效果还OK。

 

1.0.7 SPX Cycle Watch (Daily)，刚发现一个cycle，周四是due date，因此可能是个top，下面是清晰图。

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