07/30/2009 大盘回顾 （Turning Point?）

Cobra

Summary:

Could be a down day tomorrow.

Could be a turning point today or very close.

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Down		Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate	Up	Overbought
Short-term	Up	Neutral

 

After Bell Quick Summary根据CPC < 0.7，因此判断明天下跌的几率比较高一些。不过当时不确定该读数是否正确，现在呢，经一位读者提示，http://www.cboe.com/data/mktstatall.aspx，应该可以确认读数正确了。并且，由于2.8.0 SPX:CPCE，CPCE < 0.56，see dashed red lines，也是说明天下跌的几率比较高。

 

1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)，After Bell Quick Summary也提到了，8个unfilled gap。这里有个gap criteria更加严格的图，1.1.0 Nasdaq Composite (Daily)，看起来也是gap太多了。因此俺相信，今天的gap短期内会补。

 

T2103 Zweig Breadth Thrust from Telechart，overbought plus negative divergence。这个信号的overbought比较可靠。

 

0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals，negative divergences太多。尤其是NYADV and NYUPV，不仅它们之间存在vacuum而且它们自身也有negative divergence了。

 

1.1.4 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals，黑棒棒看起来不太妙。

 

7.6.0 SPX Cycle Watch (Daily)，could be a turning day today。（图有drawing problem，应该今天就是turning day。）

 

综合以上因素，也许可能大概short-term top不远了，或者short-term top已经过了，I expect a little bit bigger pullback ahead。Target？那个啥，pullback开始后再说吧，别明天就被打耳光，呵呵。

maomi

safa

javamood

shafa!

summer123

3rd

maimait

1st page

gardener2000

thanks

雨茗

globe

skipjack

thanks

epsom

Thanks, 1st page

Dennistrader

1# Cobra


Awesome!!

leftright

LLN

maimait

A sharp drop or a big round top again? I think odd of sharp drop is thin.

wyjhyd

thanks

开小差

first page. thx

dfw

Thanks

IMeMyself

First page!

coexist

thanks

mikeqc

1st page