百年金身，又破一个。

NumberRules

http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=47271

6，5月，在confirmed的熊市内，我的标准是below 200 MA，如果进入5月的是uptrend，5月内会产生高点然后翻转，如果进入的是downtrend，趋势不会改变。

救剩这俩了，看啥时候破？

2，sucker's rally很恐怖。从9到23周不等。
3，在1973年，200 daily ma有被sucker's rally坐上超过4周的最长记录，2001年，3周。

but，还有人认为这个是bear rally不？

xiaozhu

Nobody anymore.

yang9753

I still believe this is a bear market rally. The bear rally can go back to 38% or 50%. 38% is 1000.

Cobra

Bear market rally, it is.

CoolMax

Bear MarketRally也是可以短暂站稳200天均线的。

所以，第一看能冲多高，第二看回测。守住200天均线，才能是牛市的开始。

NND，俺的预测，终于100%应验了。呵呵！

bigbadwolf

Maybe SPX will follow ^HSI's track in this round. hoho.

xiaoxiaozhang

Here, I believe it is a bear rally, a big one!

lilylily

i am having doubts now..
maybe p2 is supposed to do that to ppl?

maserati

It's still a bear market rally which means SPX can reach 1000 (a 50% rally from Mar low) or 1100 (a 50% retracement) or between.

firecs

The rally has been 13 weeks.  Another 10 weeks to go at max? If this week is the first week standing above MA(200) for SPX, there will be 4 weeks to go as max.

So the rally could last at most 1 month, that is not that bad for bears.

ppteam

9# maserati

if so, SPX firmly breaks 200ma. So, basically 200ma doesn't have to be the 'anchor' in bear market.

朱坚强

整个七十年代都是猪市, 不过如果考虑到美元指数的话还是熊市

bayliner1979

再等3到4周。:)

colderdown

If it does not reach new high and begin to pull back, maybe it is not s bear rally, vice versa.

sinnet

Bear market rally, it is.
Cobra 发表于 2009-6-1 13:18

From your chart 1.0.0,  RSI has surpassed the bear market line.
what's your take on this sign?

maserati

11# ppteam

That's right.

Cobra

From your chart 1.0.0,  RSI has surpassed the bear market line.
what's your take on this sign?
sinnet 发表于 2009-6-1 13:57

Week just started, you have to read it by Friday.

l另外，就算破了，也不说明啥啊，TA没那么精确的。

google

Bear MarketRally也是可以短暂站稳200天均线的。

所以，第一看能冲多高，第二看回测。守住200天均线，才能是牛市的开始。

NND，俺的预测，终于100%应验了。呵呵！
CoolMax 发表于 2009-6-1 13:22

俺前几天就说过，MM不断上下振荡，把200MA拉低，就是为了一个大阳棒站上去, 从这点看，这次上200MA有点不那么堂堂正正，有点smell rat

CoolMax

俺前几天就说过，MM不断上下振荡，把200MA拉低，就是为了一个大阳棒站上去, 从这点看，这次上200MA有点不那么堂堂正正，有点smell rat
google 发表于 2009-6-1 06:00 PM

结果有不同吗？

google

结果有不同吗？
CoolMax 发表于 2009-6-1 18:02

近的结果一样，远的结果就不一定了

这次像偷袭，能不能守得住，要打个大大的问号
如果攻坚上去的，那么也许可以到1200，现在可能也就1000上下