04/27/2009 大盘回顾 （No Title）

Cobra

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table. Warning: This is NOT a trading recommendation!
Long-term	Down		Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate	Up	Neutral*	According to $NYA50R and $CPCE, market might be topped.
Short-term	Up	Neutral

Report Focused On	Buyable dip or the market topped?
Today’s Summary	Still doubt the market's ability to hold any further gap up open. Still expect QQQQ to pullback.

 

No idea，明天。中期，还是看seesaw，除非SPX close在875以上。

 

1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)，还是5个gap没补，所以熊熊基本不用担心第二天高开，应该比较难hold。

 

2.8.3 SPX:CPCE，这个出卖信号了，算是除了7.0.6 Weekly STO and the Market Top/Bottom以外，第二个中期卖信号，不过俺不sure是否是whipsaw，因此至少要等SPX形成第一个lower low，就是说low < 826后才能确认。

 

QQQQ连涨了5天，不过俺还是看要pullback，理由如下：

 

1. 1.1.3 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals，连涨3天而volume连跌3天，这种形态pullback的几率很高。

 

2. 1.1.4 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals，超买。

 

3. 1.1.5 PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ 30 min)，negative divergence持续的时间太长了，一般divergence存在的时间越长，其可信度也越高，因此这个图比较bearish。

 

4. QQQQ breadth，overbought plus negative divergence，这些迟早都是要修正的。

 

5. Semi breadth，同样overbought plus negative divergence。

 

金融版块，XLF的breadth，跟上面说的QQQQ无关，不过，顺便看一下吧，也是overbought plus negative divergence。

 

 

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