04/14/2009 大盘回顾 （No Title）

Cobra

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table. Warning: This is NOT a trading recommendation!
Long-term	Down		Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate	Up	Overbought	Beware of $NYA50R which usually means a top.
Short-term	Up	Neutral*

Report Focused On	Buyable dip or the market topped?
Today’s Summary	Bears must make a lower low within 2 days to prove themselves. 63% chances the market may close in green tomorrow. Firework trading setup was triggered today, but I'm not sure if there'll be any firework this time.

 

今天没啥说的，信号mixed，中期no clue，短期则也许可能大概明天最终收绿的可能大一点点儿。

 

7.1.0 Use n vs n Rule to Identify a Trend Change，One day does not make a trend，所以熊熊不要激动，两天内形成lower low，再庆祝不迟。

 

7.0.4 Extreme CPC Readings Watch，CPC大于0.7小于0.8，63%的机会明天收绿，同时trigger了7.3.2 Firework Trading Setup，so far过去的收益都不错，不过这次是不是又要放焰火，no idea，理由是大盘intermediate-term依然处于超买状态，有点难想象这种情况下大盘是否还能暴涨。

 

0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals，1.1.4 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals，顺便再看一下，超买的情况没有得到任何修正。

 

1.0.4 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 15 min)，有点Bullish Falling Wedge的意思，不过并不说明马上就反弹。俺猜，也许可能大概会先跌到绿线的位置，那时候大盘应该very short-term very oversold了，那里反弹的可能比较大。

 

1.3.7 Russell 3000 Dominant Price-Volume Relationships，1451 stocks price down volume up，这个比较bearish，暗示下跌才刚刚开始，当然这并不说明明天会收红，因此跟前面说的63%的机会明天会收绿的说法并不矛盾。

 

When both SPX and VIX drops，这个看一下，今天又是SPX下跌1%以上，同时VIX也是下跌的，统计来讲，从一周，到一个月的时间看，似乎结果比较bullish。

 

不懂

Sofa.

yager

bench

不懂

第一个老蛇的SOFA。

mzhangcn

第一次离老蛇这么近

dayuangone8

3rd hahaha

sinnet

first page
first time

XingXingZiHuo

1# Cobra


First page!  Thanks!

michaelzhang

Four?

turbotornado

basement

LadyLucy

First Page!!!

decalogue

Ding!!!

NumberRules

can2000

thanks!

cheesecake

Ding!

Jimmylee

live111

Bencat

ding!

lite1067

谢老大。

根据n vs。n的rule，好像应该是3天，而不是两天达到lower low，熊熊就算赢了。还是我理解错了？

surya

   Thank you very much.