SHORT-TERM: COULD PULLBACK TOMORROW, BUT HIGHER HIGH AHEAD
今天大盘选择了Bear Flag or Rising Wedge的走法,那么下面的看点就是是否能decisive突破下图的绿线了。
两个结论:
- 明天收红的可能性很大。
- 还有的涨,特别是如果明天没有higher high就收红的话。
下面的图是明天可能会收红的理由,NYMO太高了,图上看,只有一次例外,明天收绿。
下面的两个图是还有的涨的理由,基本就是惯性定律啦,这么强的上涨,很少会突然就fail的。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX DOWNSIDE TARGET IS 1,000, THE CORRECTION COULD LAST 1 TO 2 MONTHS
See 08/19 Market Outlook for more details.
SEASONALITY: BEARISH TUESDAY, BULLISH THURSDAY
According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:
- August’s next-to-last trading day, S&P up only twice in last 14 years.
- First trading day in September, S&P up 11 of last 15, back-to-back huge gains 1997 and 1998, up 3.1% and 3.9%.
Also please see 07/29 Market Outlook for day to day August seasonality chart.
ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:
ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:
SUMMARY OF SIGNALS FOR MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:
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- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.
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