SHORT-TERM: MORE ON THE UPSIDE
没有新东西,还是认为反弹没有结束,不过最终是会掉下来的。关于最终会掉下来的理由,在Active Bearish Outlook里有一大堆,就不再赘述了。从图上看,不同的time frame可以得出不同的结论,15 min图看着很bullish,因此还可能涨几天,但是60 min图的Bear Flag or Pennant很明显,因此目前看,最终还是要continue lower的,当然,什么时候开跌,得等15 min图的Pennant or Symmetrical Triangle走完才知道。
有很多童鞋指出了SPY weekly Hammer,看着很bullish,下面是统计,看着,下周以及下下周都不错。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: CONCEPT ONLY, THE WORSE CASE SPX DOWNSIDE TARGET IS 1,000
See 08/05 Market Outlook for more details.
SEASONALITY: BULLISH MONDAY AND FRIDAY
According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:
- Monday before August expiration, Dow up 11 of last 15.
- August expiration day bullish lately, Dow up 7 in a row 2003 – 2009.
ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:
ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:
SUMMARY OF SIGNALS FOR MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:
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- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.
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