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SPY SETUP |
ENTRY DATE |
STOP LOSS |
INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU |
Non-Stop |
02/24 S |
N/A |
Short is for aggressive traders only. |
ST Model |
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Sell mode means downtrend. The model needs 2nd signal to open a short position. |
Short-term |
DOWN |
03/11 High |
I hold short position overnight, slightly underwater. |
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SHORT-TERM: COULD BE A BULL FLAG IN THE FORMING TARGET AT $130.21
今天没啥好说的,可能整了个Bull Flag,因此根据Measured Move,反弹的目标是SPY $130.21,我不确定,因为没有其它证据了。操作上则没有变化,还是sell the bounce。
可能会有同学提到6.2.0a VIX Trading Signals (ENV Buy)和6.2.2b VIX Trading Signal (BB Buy),这个,可能吧,不过,对我来说由于SPY ST Model是sell mode,因此这个buy setup是不成立的,因为统计上没有多少edge,当然YMYD。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD NOT BE VERY BRIGHT BUT STATISTICALLY BULLISH IN 3 TO 6 MONTHS
See 03/11 Market Recap for more details.
SEASONALITY: BULLISH MONDAY
According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:
- Monday before March Triple Witching, Dow up 17 of last 23.
- March Triple Witching Day mixed last 10 years, Dow down 3 of last 4.
For March seasonality chart please refer to 03/01 Market Recap.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST
- Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.
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