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楼主: dcd

[灌水] 牛牛们看到了吗?

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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-21 10:19 PM | 显示全部楼层


本帖最后由 dcd 于 2010-9-22 10:00 编辑

回复 100# Bigmouth



MM 又露出了马脚, 大盘将在3-5 天  SPX  reach shortterm top



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发表于 2010-9-21 10:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复  Bigmouth

大盘将在3-5 天  SPX  reach shortterm top

,
dcd 发表于 2010-9-21 19:19



    not mid term?
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 04:39 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 dcd 于 2010-9-22 07:16 编辑

回复 102# Fig


for midterm,因短期跌深放量就确认进入中期甚至长期漫漫熊市,短期跌浅则SHS底仍有可能去创新高SPX 1250 (as Oct.  2004 - Jan. 2005 有利于选举) ,进入牛市或猪市, 所以得观察下一个短期底.



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(另一种看法6月初到现在是一波中期反弹,接下去是新一波中期续跌, 大P又要回来了?)
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发表于 2010-9-22 05:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-9-22 09:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复  Fig


for midterm,因短期跌深放量就确认进入中期甚至长期漫漫熊市,短期跌浅则SHS底仍有可能去 ...
dcd 发表于 2010-9-22 01:39


楼主的思路很值得大家学习啊。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-30 10:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 101# dcd






任凭风吹浪打, 胜似闲庭信步










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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-30 07:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 dcd 于 2010-9-30 22:00 编辑

回复 49# dcd

回复  dcd

K, 等到9月底再回头看这些铺天盖地, 妇孺皆知的欺骗性崩盘宣传(NEWS) ,   MM 大造声势,明修栈道,暗渡陈仓



--- “兴登堡凶兆”重临 预示美股9月大跌 23年皆准(图) 中评社

--- 华尔街日报:美国股市崩盘危机山雨欲来

--- 兴登堡凶兆(Hindenburg Omen)再现, 股市是否会崩溃?

--- 周四驚現興登堡凶兆

--- 美股上周四出現“興登堡兇兆” 崩盤就在9月

---  兴登堡訊號唱衰美股

--- 兴登堡凶兆再现,9月或有股灾? - 加拿大新闻商业网
dcd 发表于 2010-8-17 01:55



Today is the  last day of  9月,

where is 股灾?   what is 9月大跌 ?      

this 9月 is the best for bulls  for  71 years !

兴登堡凶兆 is MM's true lie again.




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 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-1 08:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 dcd 于 2010-10-1 10:59 编辑

回复 107# dcd


WTF   Hindenburg  panic  at August  ,MM 就是迷奸你没商量;   look the news below:




US stock markets enjoy best September for 71 years


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/8035449/US-stock-markets-enjoy-best-September-for-71-years.html


Stock markets in the US enjoyed their biggest September rally since 1939 on Thursday despite falling on the day.


Published: 10:11PM BST 30 Sep 2010

Comments
The front of the New York Stock Exchange
The New York Stock Exchange, where the Dow Jones and S&P 500 recorded their highest September rises for 71 years Photo: AFP

The broader S&P 500 rose 8.8pc on the month and the Dow Jones was up 7.7pc.




The last time Wall Street saw a stronger September, when the Dow Jones soared 13.49pc , was at the start of the Second World War, when traders anticipated a strong rise in demand for US manufactured goods and war materials.

However, on Thursday the S&P 500 fell 3.53 to 1141.20 and the Dow dropped 47.23 to 10788.05 as new data on jobs and economic growth continued to indicate the economy was recovering at a slow pace.

Gross domestic product, which measures the output of goods and services in the US, increased at an annual rate of 1.7pc in the second quarter and the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell more than expected last week for the third time in four weeks.

Separately, the ISM-Chicago Business Survey rose in September to chalk up a full twelve months of expansion, showing an improvement in industrial activity in the key area.

Sentiment has been underpinned by solid company earnings, a spate of big corporate deals, poor returns from bonds as interest rates hovering around record lows, and hopes that the US Federal Reserve will step in if growth in the world's largest economy stalls.

The FTSE 100 has joined has rally, ending the month up 6.2pc as investors looked beyond Europe's debt woes and focused on signs that the US economy is stabilising.

London's index of leading shares, down 20.6 at 5548.62 on Thursday, has risen 323 points since the end of last month, when fears of a double-dip recession weighed on equities.

The FTSE 100's performance this month compares to a 4.6pc rise last September and a 13pc fall in 2008 - when the global financial system to the brink by the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Other major European and Asian bourses also rose strongly during September. Germany's DAX gains 5.1pc boosted by bullish consumer sentiment and strong exports. France's CAC gained 6.1pc.

In Tokyo Nikkei 225 rose 6.18pc and Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 8.9pc, although mainland China's Shanghai Composite only edged 0.6pc higher.

"This year’s behaviour [in equity markets] is more akin to a broad consolidation phase with underlying support from earnings, which have been stronger than expected," said Mike Lenhoff, chief market strategist at Brewin Dolphin.

He said the "recovery mometum" lost during August had returned and could continue if newsflow on the US economy stays positive and third-quarter corporate results due in two weeks remain upbeat.

"Although, we could go from under-bought to oversold," he cautioned. He said volumes have been thin which has exaggerated moves in the market.

John Brady, senior vice-president at MF Global in Chicago, said: "We could be seeing the last vestiges of the idea that too much bad news was built into the market. We could go from being overly pessimistic to overly optimistic."

However, there is still caution.Michael James, equity trading managing director at Wedbush Morgan Securities, said :"It would be a mistake to draw a conclusion that the market strength is a vote of confidence in a significantly improving US economy."
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 08:41 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 dcd 于 2010-10-4 14:36 编辑

回复 108# dcd


牛牛形势不妙啊, 要双顶了?  FED need print more money $b$b$b$b$b.





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纽约联储银行行长:美联储可能进一步行动

2010年10月04日 07:58凤凰网财经

据港媒报道,纽约联邦储备银行行长威廉·达德利2日表示,美联储很可能采取进一步措施,以应对美国经济形势暗淡、失业率居高不下的情况。这是迄今为止美联储理事呼吁向经济注入更多现金的最明确的言论。

达德利当天发表讲话称:“美联储拥有一些工具,可以以看起来并不太高的代价提供额外的刺激性措施。美联储很可能采取进一步的行动,除非经济前景的进展能让我更加确信,不久以后我们将在就业和通胀两方面都能看到更好的成果。”

纽约联储是美联储系统中最重要的地方联储,达德利拥有永久性的联储政策投票权。

许多分析师预计,美联储最早将于11月2日到3日召开的下次货币政策会议上启动新一轮的债券购买活动。

达德利说,通过收购美国国债或抵押贷款债券的方式来下调长期利率将对经济造成“重大”影响,原因是这种措施能对住房和股票价值形成支撑,从而使美国消费者更有能力购买住房和对抵押贷款进行再融资,还能降低企业的资本成本。

达德利预测,美联储收购5000亿美元政府债券的活动将可为经济提供足够多的刺激,相当于将联邦基金利率下调50个基点到75个基点。

达德利还表示,他不担心美国经济会重新陷入衰退,并预计目前2%的经济增长率将“逐步加快”。
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