关于FRE这个垃圾

老顽童

俺觉着胜败皆由己生。
短线策略，无论0.8，1.5进的，到2.3这么大的利润不跑是为贪。
长线策略，是make it or break it，止损的不要。FRE, FNM这么大的盘子，这么垃圾的股价，大于50%的波动一点都不奇怪。
想长线赚大的又怕血本无归，这个悖论得很，没法操作。

jjhk

那就涨了卖，跌了买，干嘛要长期持有

happylux

俺觉着胜败皆由己生。
短线策略，无论0.8，1.5进的，到2.3这么大的利润不跑是为贪。
长线策略，是make it or break it，止损的不要。FRE, FNM这么大的盘子，这么垃圾的股价，大于50%的波动一点都不奇怪。
想长线赚大的又怕血本无归，这个悖论得很，没法操作
老顽童 发表于 2009-9-4 09:30 AM

偶属于这类。低点买入，将止损设在买价之上一点点，长期持有。Happying.....

天真的冷酷

I bot FRE and hold again..

MorganLeFay

5# 天真的冷酷


Better Than A Lottery Ticket?
by Corey Williams, Editor

Earlier this week, I was on my way to the office.  I stopped at Circle K, a local convenience store, for a cup of coffee.  Stepping into line to pay, I was unlucky enough to be stuck behind a lottery junkie.  Unfortunately, this wasnt the first time this has happened.

You know the type.  Their retirement plan is to win the jackpot.

Im not talking about someone who plays a few lucky numbers when the jackpot gets big.  The lottery junkie plays $20, $50, or $100 every time they walk into the store.

I spent the next few minutes watching the clerk scan ticket after ticket to find a few meager winners.  The junkie always rolls the winnings into the next round.  Often time adding a few more bucks to make sure theyve got a good chance to win the next drawing.

Now, I cant be sure but I think the lotto ticket junkies have all opened trading accounts.  How else can you explain the market action in Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE).

Fannie and Freddie have almost quadrupled in just the past month!

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These two stocks are worse than buying lottery tickets.  Mark my words, these two companies (and I use the term loosely) are done.  The stock is worth zero, zip, nothing, nadda

If youre planning on buying one of these stocks looking for a big payday youre in for a rude awakening.  The day will come when you open your brokerage statement to see the stock is worthless.

When will the final reckoning come for Fannie and Freddie?

A report from Moodys points to the companys demise.  They concluded the government would need to keep funding the companies for more than a decade.  Only then would they be able stand on their own again.  I think this estimates too generous.

The two companies together are nearing $1 trillion in total government assistance.

Theres no way theyll be able to reimburse that much money.  Even in the best of times.  But right now its the worst of times for mortgage lenders.  Loans are going bad at an unprecedented rate.

Take a look at these numbers

The number of loans behind on their payments rose to 9.4% in Q2.  And, the number of homes in foreclosure rose to 4.3%.  The picture isnt getting any prettier either.  The number of loans on the verge of going into foreclosure is now almost 8%.  Every single one of these numbers is at an all time high.

Clearly this problem is going to get worse before it gets better.

I dont see Congressional support for these companies lasting a decade. If (or should I say when) the companies are dismantled, the debts will exceed the assets.  The stock will be worth nothing.

If you own FNM or FRE, the only thing going in your favor is time.  The debate on how to restructure the housing-finance system is just getting warmed up.  Im sure everyone with a stake in the mortgage or banking business will have a plan for fixing the system.  The battle in Congress is sure to be partisan, ugly, and lengthy.

This gives you a chance to get out.

If you own stock in either of these companies, use this time to sell.  Get what you can.  And if you ever have the urge to gamble on either of these stocks, go buy a lottery ticket.  At least then youll have a chance

CoolMax

很简单啊，不管什么价进的，先把本钱拿回来。剩下的就转移去其它Broker哪里。把密码忘掉。