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Short/UltraShort ETF watch

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发表于 2009-5-8 11:27 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


11 popular short/ultrashort ETFs on the watch list: SH, DOG, PSQ, RWM, SDS, DXD, QID, TWM, SKF, SRS, DUG
Trading signals: MACD(21,34,8), full STO(34,21,8). Each ETF should have 2 signals, 1 from MACD, 1 from full STO.
Rules:
1. In MACD, if MACD>EMA8, it's a "buy" signal, otherwise, it's a "sell" signal.
2. In full STO, if K>D, it's a "buy" signal, otherwise, it's a "sell" signal.

I started to monitor those signals since 4-24-2009 with 0 "buy" signal. The 1st "buy" signal was from DUG on 4-27-2009, but it was reversed the 2nd day. SKF registered  the first "buy" signal on 4-28-2009, and it's still valid.
We all know that market went up a lot since 4-28-2009 (INDU>500 points). Interesting enough, the "buy" signals on my watch list never decreased. Instead, it has been increasing in a surprising way, which I think is a very negative "divergence".
etf graph.PNG
发表于 2009-5-9 12:02 AM | 显示全部楼层
selling pressure is always high and never went down. This rally is weird.
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发表于 2009-5-9 12:02 AM | 显示全部楼层
:lol
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发表于 2009-5-9 06:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 多吉 于 2009-5-9 07:32 编辑

interesting!thx for sharing...
市场有惯性,在其动能趋零之前,小心不要counter move而被趋势列车run over。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-9 01:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
4# 多吉

多吉's point is very important. Since it took 500 INDU points to generate first 6 "buy" signals, I would not be surprised if it is going to take another 500 INDU points to get all of the rest 16 signals.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 04:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
Update on 5-11-2009: 2 more "buy" signals today. SKF was the first one to have complete signals and confirmation, suggesting that financial sector is the weakest one and may lead the coming downtrend.
etf graph.PNG
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发表于 2009-5-11 06:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
Update on 5-11-2009: 2 more "buy" signals today. SKF was the first one to have complete signals and confirmation, suggesting that financial sector is the weakest one and may lead the coming downtrend.
Lynxx 发表于 2009-5-11 05:30 PM


Great job. Thanks for sharing!

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-12 05:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
Update on 5-12-2009
WK! 6 more "buy" signals today, including SH/SDS, DOG/DXD, and TWM.
Now we have 14 out of 22 "buy" signals.
etf.PNG
etf graph.PNG
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发表于 2009-5-12 05:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-5-12 09:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
这样的好帖一定要支持。
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发表于 2009-5-12 09:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-5-12 11:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-13 05:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
Update on 5-13-2009
3 more "buy" signals and 4 more confirmations. Today's contributors are RWM/TWM/SDS.
There are 17 out of 22 "buy" signals and 7 out of 11 confirmations now. 5 more ETFs now have complete sets of "buy" signals and confirmations (highlighted).
Bears are fierce.
etf.PNG
etf graph.PNG
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发表于 2009-5-13 05:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
how about FXP? It is not in your list?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-13 05:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
14# Bigmouth

It's tedious to monitor a lot of ETFs. So I only follow those I thought are the most important ones.
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