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I feel something big is coming

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发表于 2009-4-22 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


It may not be a simple pull back, by looking at $ index and T-Bond index. "Investors" (are there really investors now except bag holders?) may be shocked again in coming weeks.

Just my feeling, not TA, FA analysis to support it.
发表于 2009-4-22 03:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
Feeling ist good, but difficult to know when comes the shock
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 03:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# WaveRider

Up or Down?!
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 03:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# WaveRider


I thought you are WavePlayer... You are not trying use BIG NAME, are you? I guess it is just coincidence.. Just kidding.
Even through it is not WavePlayer's cast, I still like it since it will give us more chance...
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 03:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
同意;牛牛就剩下榨空了,看还能弄多久。
现在是BOND HOLDER和EQUITY HOLDER态度有分歧,一般是BOND同志对。
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发表于 2009-4-22 04:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
同意;牛牛就剩下榨空了,看还能弄多久。
现在是BOND HOLDER和EQUITY HOLDER态度有分歧,一般是BOND同志对。
ppteam 发表于 2009-4-22 04:59 PM


说说看,Bond同志是啥意见?
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 04:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
同意;牛牛就剩下榨空了,看还能弄多久。
现在是BOND HOLDER和EQUITY HOLDER态度有分歧,一般是BOND同志对。
ppteam 发表于 2009-4-22 16:59



I agree. it is hard to believe people still buy and hold at this level.

Even if you want to do it, you want to wait for the pullback first.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 06:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# WaveRider

Gains Erased

The rally was reversed as concern grew that government stress tests will undermine confidence in banks. The Obama administration may direct banks that are judged to be short of capital to disclose how they are going to get additional funds when the government reveals the results on May 4, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Should the U.S. unemployment rate rise to 12 percent from its current 25-year high of 8.5 percent, then most banks will need to raise more capital, Paul Miller, an analyst at Friedman Billings Ramsey Group Inc., said in a Bloomberg Television interview.

“The higher we go the worse off these banks are going to be,” Miller said during a Bloomberg Television interview today.


KeyCorp, Wells Fargo

KeyCorp fell 90 cents to $6.15, the biggest decline in the S&P 500, after BMO Capital Markets downgraded Ohio’s second- largest bank to “market perform” from “outperform,” saying the company’s “problem assets are spreading to other loan portfolios.”

Wells Fargo & Co. dropped 63 cents to $18.18. Atkins said in an interview on CNBC that he doesn’t know what the U.S. may say in their stress tests and told Bloomberg Television that “I don’t want to say we’re out of the woods yet.” The second- biggest U.S. bank by market value rallied earlier after saying first-quarter profit rose 53 percent as borrowers rushed to refinance mortgages.

The S&P 500 Financials Index of 80 banks, insurers and investment firms closed down 3.8 percent after rising as much as 2.2 percent. The gauge is still up 68 percent from a 17-year low reached March 6.
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发表于 2009-4-22 06:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 jackie8443 于 2009-4-22 19:59 编辑

等着星期五看geithner怎么说话,然后眼明手快抢个百分几的就跑。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 06:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-22 07:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
Both $usd and 10-yr bond are down. Usually the mkt should be up.
However, mkt was down today.
Can someone help explain what this means?
Thank
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 07:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
还有大事儿啊,没完没了,啥时候才能赚到钱啊
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 07:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
I feel the storm is coming...
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发表于 2009-4-22 07:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
I am waiting for bears stampede (running on each other and trying to get out kind)
until then, my finger on the triggers
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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