选举年最后一个季度

ElliottFib

又一次说明，印象（感觉）和实际统计对比起来，差别可能很大

喜欢马丁

数据看到了。印象和感觉是怎样的？

ElliottFib

喜欢马丁 发表于 2020-10-1 08:27 AM
数据看到了。印象和感觉是怎样的？

前两天一哥们凭印象很坚定的跟我说大选的那个季度一般都很差。stat is stat。不代表这次一定好。只看这一个角度，想按概率下注的，odds已经很好了。

ranchgirl

thanks!

老灯

tongwen

Thank you.

But for Q4 Average only: Year 1 : 3.4%; Year 2: 6.6%; Year 3: 3.5%; Year 4: 2.0%; Year 4 is the worst.

ElliottFib

tongwen 发表于 2020-10-1 10:39 AM
Thank you.

But for Q4 Average only: Year 1 : 3.4%; Year 2: 6.6%; Year 3: 3.5%; Year 4: 2.0%; Year ...

the +80% number tells me this Q4 is almost as good as it gets for certain trades. Over-generalizing which yr/Q is good/bad doesn't really provide much useful guidance for actually trading. all depend on what you are actually planning to do, I guess.