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发表于 2011-8-16 09:50 PM
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回复 MLat42 的帖子
similar results.
during the 2008 crash, there were some periods of high insider buying. From a historical/statistical point of view a recovery looks at least a few months out:
Since late 1929, it shows 3 times out of 37 that the DOW recovered within 60 trading days after the market underwent a 15% or greater decline in a 10 trading day period when at the start of the decline the market was already depressed from 60 trading days prior. The 3 dates were 3/30/1938, 3/31/1938, and 2/23/2009. Drops this extreme usually indicate more trouble ahead.
Even though we have a bounce now, it's tough to make money being long if the market goes into a downward stair-stepping pattern. |
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