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发表于 2010-10-20 06:16 PM
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the independence of monetary policy, exchange rate, and free capital flow, you can only have 2 of them. robert mundell's triangle theory.
for example, hong kong wants to peg to us dollar and have free capital flow. So it has to give up monetary independence and follow us interest rate.
china government now attempts to have all of 3. this is like to fight with earth gravity. this move will not abate property bubble and inflation, but worsen it by attracting more hot money. We shall see. |
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