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[讨论] wave 新手来尝试count下PGJ,请wave老手们帮忙check一下

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发表于 2008-3-26 10:06 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


PGJ_MONTH.JPG Monthly count:
 楼主| 发表于 2008-3-26 10:07 PM | 显示全部楼层

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PGJ_WEEKLY.JPG weekly count
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-3-26 10:11 PM | 显示全部楼层

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1) going to $28.8 or $30 in B wave. also close to FIB number and resistence 2) then C wave down?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-15 06:40 PM | 显示全部楼层

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PGJ_daily041508.JPG

update on 04/15/08

target around $28

[ 本帖最后由 littletiger 于 2008-4-15 19:42 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-19 05:09 PM | 显示全部楼层

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OIL and Natural gas, 04/18/08

 

Having experienced Uranium mania and A share mania that followed crash, I am very cautious of very potential bubble. The current one that could fit into this term, as I am seeing, is OIL.

 

I recalled that before the current gold correction happened, most of people was thinking Gold going above $1000 and MOST importantly, people started to talk about Silver price should catch up. Right now, people are talking about oil going to $120 or higher and Natural gas should catch up, will the same pattern happen again?

 

What do you think? Will in this time Nature Gas and Oil be different from Gold? Or is it the time to call, as some other people on the other extreme side claimed, "Commodity Peak"? Me think? a midterm correction and high higher coming in the late fall.

 

 

 Disclosure, I do hold some Natural gas trusts.

[ 本帖最后由 littletiger 于 2008-4-19 18:11 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-23 10:53 PM | 显示全部楼层

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PGJ breaks downtrend and stands at $28.4, going to $28.8 then $30?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-27 04:21 PM | 显示全部楼层

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FOMC meeting results: 1) 9 out 10 are going up (5 out 9 are up big) 2) only those associated with hugh volume (above average) indicate the trend in next 2 weeks. 3) 7 out of 10 move different direction between the day prior to FOMC day vs. FOMC day. but the prior-day movement is very small
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-4 12:38 AM | 显示全部楼层

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  PGJ_daily050208.JPG

 

breaks $28.8 and is heading to 2nd target $30-$30.5. final target is $32 which may be too hard to get there!s

[ 本帖最后由 littletiger 于 2008-5-4 01:40 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-7-1 11:54 PM | 显示全部楼层

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DAY.JPG Natural Gas: DAY-UN.TO
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-7-1 11:57 PM | 显示全部楼层

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DAY-UN.TO had a great run 2X in 9 months. Final target of $13 in 1-2 month. It also has 10% dividend. LT
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-7-2 11:39 PM | 显示全部楼层

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FRG in my watch list. GOLD and Uranium play.

 

FRG_2008.JPG

[ 本帖最后由 littletiger 于 2008-7-3 00:40 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-7-14 01:07 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 littletiger 于 2008-7-2 00:57 发表 DAY-UN.TO had a great run 2X in 9 months. Final target of $13 in 1-2 month. It also has 10% dividend. LT

 

target reached today 07/14/2008 in half month. take 1/3 off table

 

LT

 

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-7-21 10:12 PM | 显示全部楼层

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rgld_Sep08.JPG Gold play: RGLD; target $42 in Sept. and $50 by the end of Dec.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-8-12 09:15 PM | 显示全部楼层

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RGLD is a fake breaking out.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-8-12 09:16 PM | 显示全部楼层

spy_aug_15_18_2.JPG
SPY, wave 5 in C ?

should not break 128.5, flat and rally on Thurs. Friday?

[ 本帖最后由 littletiger 于 2008-8-12 22:17 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-8-13 02:58 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 littletiger 于 2008-8-12 22:16 发表 8286SPY, wave 5 in C ? should not break 128.5, flat and rally on Thurs. Friday?

 

haha

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-8-14 12:21 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 littletiger 于 2008-8-12 22:16 发表 8286SPY, wave 5 in C ? should not break 128.5, flat and rally on Thurs. Friday?

 

It is on schedule. Friday up thrust? => end of rally;   or big rally till the end of day to 1320?

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-8-15 01:22 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 littletiger 于 2008-8-14 13:21 发表   It is on schedule. Friday up thrust? => end of rally;   or big rally till the end of day to 1320?

 

Up thrust is happening now. This is very dangerous sign for bull. But it does not mean for sure this is the end of rally.

 

Next week, down first and ???

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-8-19 10:42 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 littletiger 于 2008-8-15 14:22 发表   Up thrust is happening now. This is very dangerous sign for bull. But it does not mean for sure this is the end of rally.   Next week, down first and ???

 

new chart. SP_aug18.JPG

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-8-21 11:17 PM | 显示全部楼层

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128.58 or 128.88 for SPY top?
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