08/04/2010 大盘回顾（Could be up more but don't get too bullish）

Cobra · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:43 PM

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	2 of 2 are BUY
Intermediate	3 of 3 are BUY	5 of 5 are NEUTRAL	SPY ST Model in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode
Short-term	Model is BUY	5 of 5 are NEUTRAL	Trend is up but I hold no long position overnight.
GANN DAY	MOON/SOLAR	CYCLE	CONCLUSION
8/6,8/11,8/26	08/09 / 08/08	8/2,8/9,8/11,8/23	Next pivot date: 08/09 – 08/11, 08/23 – 08/26

BULLISH	0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: ROC(30) < –9, so market bottomed?
BEARISH	*6.2.3 VIX:VXV Trading Signals: A little bit low.

SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	STOP LOSS	INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU
Non-Stop	07/15 L	N/A	Be sure to check 8.2.2a to 8.2.2g to understand the risks.
ST Model	07/20 L	*07/22 low	*Adjust stop loss.

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.

SEASONALITY: THE FIRST NINE TRADING DAYS OF AUGUST ARE HISTORICALLY WEAK

See 07/30 Market Recap for more details.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: THE CORRECTION SINCE 04/26 ISN’T OVER, THE REBOUND SINCE 07/01 IS NEAR END

See 07/30 Market Recap for more details.

SHORT-TERM: STILL HAS SOME ROOM ON THE UPSIDE, BUT DON’T GET TOO BULLISH

The bottom line，trend is up，1.0.1 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 15 min)，可能是个Ascending Triangle breakout，因此marke还有上升空间。

不过不要太bullish了，08/02 Market Recap提到的T2122和T2112还是太高，6.2.3 VIX:VXV Trading Signals则太低，1.0.0 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)，negative divergence太大。这些虽然都还没有到非常extreme的地步，但是已经没有多大的上升空间了。因此维持08/06 pivot date could be a top的forecast (see 08/03 Market Recap for more details)。

1.0.0 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min).

6.2.3 VIX:VXV Trading Signals.

T2122.

T2112.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	COMMENT – New update. Click BLUE* to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ	UP	4.1.1 Nasdaq 100 Index (Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target 1565.
IWM	UP
CHINA	UP
EMERGING	UP	4.1.6 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM Weekly): Bear Flag?; EEM:$SPX too high.
EUROPEAN	UP	4.1.7 Vanguard European VIPERs (VGK Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $35.45; Bear Flag?
CANADA	*UP	4.1.5 iShares CDN S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (XIU.TO Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $15.30.
BOND	UP
EURO	UP
GOLD	DOWN	*6.4.5 GLD and UUP Watch: GLD black bar means UUP rebound tomorrow?
GDX	DOWN
OIL	UP	4.4.0 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO Weekly): Bear Flag?
ENERGY	UP	4.4.1 Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $43.14.
FINANCIALS	UP
REITS	UP
MATERIALS	UP

nanosensor · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:44 PM

Ding

nanosensor · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:45 PM

Ding

Fan8an · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:45 PM

板凳

usamonkey · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:46 PM

vicvic · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:47 PM

neo · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:53 PM

c3456 · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:53 PM

回复 1# Cobra

Diver · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:54 PM

回复 1# Cobra

ddr · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:54 PM

Zephyr · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:55 PM

oldfox · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:56 PM

hi-liter · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:57 PM

只有GOLD down。

可我还持有GLD的基金呢。

happyface · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:57 PM

thanks a lot

NZX · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:58 PM

多谢老蛇，已经做好换装准备

terranmn · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:58 PM

dcd · 发表于 2010-8-4 07:59 PM

ttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttthanks

slcgh · 发表于 2010-8-4 08:00 PM

开小差 · 发表于 2010-8-4 08:01 PM

thx,ding

hippo · 发表于 2010-8-4 08:01 PM

		自动登录	找回密码
密码			注册

[技术分析] 08/04/2010 大盘回顾（Could be up more but don't get too bullish）

评分

[技术分析] 08/04/2010 大盘回顾 （Could be up more but don't get too bullish）

评分

[技术分析] 08/04/2010 大盘回顾（Could be up more but don't get too bullish）