06/16/2010 大盘回顾 （Reversal Bar?）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in SELL mode Short-term 2 of 2 are BUY 3 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in BUY mode GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE & TIME FIB CONCLUSION *06/16-06/17 06/26 / 06/21 06/24, 07/31, 08/20-08/23 Next pivot date: 06/24?

BULLISH 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: Bottomed? 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high. BEARISH CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model 06/04 S 1.9xATR(10) *Cover short tomorrow. Too bad, I should’ve followed the original rule: never let profits turn into loss. The position should be stopped out on 06/09. See 06/08 Market Recap. The model from now on will use the original rule which may cause a little bit more trades but will be much safer.   *No long position should be entered yet though. Warning: The Model is for fun only, make your own decision for your own money! Reversal Bar     NYMO Sell     Non-Stop(RSP) 05/11 S N/A Partial profit on 05/28. OTHER ETFs TREND *DTFMS COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ *UP BUY IWM DOWN BUY CHINA DOWN EMERGING UP   EUROPEAN UP     CANADA UP BUY 1.5.1 TSE McClellan Oscillator: Overbought. BOND UP   EURO DOWN BUY GOLD UP BUY 4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99. GDX UP BUY OIL UP BUY ENERGY UP   FINANCIALS DOWN   REITS UP   MATERIALS DOWN

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.

SEASONALITY: A LITTLE BIT BULLISH ON JUNE TRIPLE WITCHING WEEK

See 06/11 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: INITIAL REBOUND TARGET AROUND 1150 AND TIME TARGET AROUND 06/24

See 06/14 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: A LITTLE BIT NERVOUS FOR THE 2ND REVERSAL LIKE BAR IN 3 DAYS

 

今天的After Bell Quick Summary里提到了，由于SPY ST Model已经是buy mode了，所以for me（pay attention to FOR ME, as I said treat the model as a joke）, officially the intermediate-term is up, the game is to buy dips. 不过，我也提了，对明天感觉不好，可能是我过于nervous了，下面是理由。

 

0.2.0 Volatility Index (Daily)，今天的实心黑棒棒(Open > Close but Close > Yesterday’s Close)是个有反转意味的棒棒，加上周一的同样有反转意义的空心红棒棒(Open < Close but Close < Yesterday’s Close)，不知道是否意味着VIX要反弹，这对SPX是个坏消息。

 

 

0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield，同样也是3天内有2个反转棒，是否意味着SPX要pullback。

 

 

0.1.0 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，SPY今天的空心红棒棒看上去也感觉不好，plus still quite a few overbought signals。

 

 

以上，只是说感觉不好，不清楚是否有大的回调，因为根据以往的经验，从底部开始的反弹往往会很猛烈，overbought信号会完全失效，我不知道是否现在我们正处于这种从底部强烈反弹的阶段。基本上，明天如果有pullback的话，只要下面图的Double Bottom neckline at 111.06能hold，就还是Double Bottom，therefore still is bullish。Well, we’ll see。

 

 

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shafa

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soulvirus

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everest001

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Fan8an

第一页！

cartier

萧秋水

辛苦了,多谢!

soulvirus

报告班长， 福多多刷屏了， 删了他的贴， 让偶沙发吧

X中国陆军

helen1

THANKS.

navybean

Thanks a lot.

happyface

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oldfox

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windy

thanks