06/15/2010 大盘回顾 （Double Bottom?）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in SELL mode Short-term 2 of 2 are BUY 5 of 6 are OVERBOUGHT SPY ST Model is in SELL mode GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE & TIME FIB CONCLUSION 06/11-06/14 06/26 / 06/21 06/24, 07/31, 08/20-08/23 Next pivot date: 06/11-06/14, 06/24

BULLISH 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: Bottomed? 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high. 8.1.1 Normalized NATV/NYTV: Bottomed? 6.3.2c Major Distribution Day Watch: Bottomed? 6.3.1 Major Accumulation Day Watch: Bottomed? 05/28 Market Recap: II survey shows too many people are expecting a correction. 0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: CPC MA(5) too high. BEARISH *0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator, overbought. CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model 06/04 S 1.9xATR(10) Reversal Bar     *Setup not confirmed and no longer valid. NYMO Sell     Non-Stop(RSP) 05/11 S N/A Partial profit on 05/28. OTHER ETFs TREND *DTFMS COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ DOWN BUY IWM DOWN BUY CHINA DOWN EMERGING UP BUY EUROPEAN UP BUY   CANADA *UP BUY *1.5.1 TSE McClellan Oscillator: Overbought. BOND UP SELL EURO DOWN BUY GOLD UP *BUY 4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99. GDX UP *BUY OIL UP BUY ENERGY UP BUY FINANCIALS DOWN BUY REITS UP BUY MATERIALS DOWN BUY

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.

SEASONALITY: A LITTLE BIT BULLISH ON JUNE TRIPLE WITCHING WEEK

See 06/11 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: INITIAL REBOUND TARGET AROUND 1150 AND TIME TARGET AROUND 06/24

 

Has the market bottomed? 我只能说目前看起来very likely，最重要的理由是Double Bottom breakout。我的经验，一般chart pattern可信度是很高的，所以姑且假设market has bottomed吧（plus不要忘了table above里的无数bottom signal）。下面的图是基于这个假设得到的time and price target，应该标得很详细了，自己看吧。

 

 

SHORT-TERM: EXPECT A PULLBACK AS EARLY AS TOMORROW

 

短期看回调，下面是理由，NYMO is way too high，过去仅有的几次这么高(red dashed lines)，绝大多数第二天都有回调，且幅度还都不小。

 

littlevivi

沙发

littlevivi

yeah！！！！第一次坐沙发哦！！！！！！

impresario100

littlevivi

老蛇，明天big pull back的是不是要坚决buy dip？

cartier

thanx!

X中国陆军

navybean

Thanks, ding.

xiaoyaoxl

先顶后看

dxzhu

First page

rosyrosy

SmartyJones

Thanks!

wangbin

谢谢\

happyface

谢谢老蛇,白天灌不了水,现在多灌.

usamonkey

oda

萧秋水

辛苦了,多谢了!

falcone

非常感谢

Cobra

老蛇，明天big pull back的是不是要坚决buy dip？
littlevivi 发表于 2010-6-15 21:25

    No idea。明天大pullback，还真不好办。你无法知道这只是pullback还是another leg down。我只能说，是pullback的可能性比较大些。

songjiang

thanks! 老大明天能不能再唾沫横飞，让熊熊一统浆糊哈！