06/10/2010 大盘回顾 （Watch SPX 1105ish）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 4 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in SELL mode Short-term 1 of 2 are SELL 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in SELL mode GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE & TIME FIB CONCLUSION 06/11-06/14 06/12 /06/21 07/31, 08/20-08/23 Next pivot date: 06/11-06/14.

BULLISH 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: Bottomed? 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high. 8.1.1 Normalized NATV/NYTV: Bottomed? 6.3.2c Major Distribution Day Watch: Bottomed? 05/20 Market Recap: Intermediate-term Indicator Score from sentimentrader is too low. 6.3.1 Major Accumulation Day Watch: Bottomed? 05/28 Market Recap: II survey shows too many people are expecting a correction. 0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: CPC MA(5) too high. BEARISH 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: Ascending Broadening Wedge? Target: 1008 to 1019. 0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Positive divergence missing, so one more down leg ahead? CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model 06/04 S 1.9xATR(10) Reversal Bar     NYMO Sell     Non-Stop(RSP) 05/11 S N/A Partial profit on 05/28. OTHER ETFs TREND *DTFMS COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ DOWN   IWM DOWN   CHINA DOWN EMERGING DOWN BUY EUROPEAN DOWN *BUY 4.1.7 Vanguard European VIPERs (VGK Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $35.54. CANADA DOWN   BOND UP *SELL EURO DOWN   Descending Triangle breakdown, target $117.21. GOLD UP 4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99. GDX UP BUY OIL *UP BUY ENERGY DOWN *BUY FINANCIALS DOWN   REITS DOWN   MATERIALS DOWN *BUY

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.

SEASONALITY: A LITTLE BIT BEARISH BIASED THE NEXT WEEK

See 06/04 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: PULLBACK TARGET AROUND 1008 TO 1019, TIME TARGET AROUND 06/11 TO 06/14

See 06/04 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: WATCH SPX 1105ish

 

今天还是没啥说的，暂时没有方向。因为今天是Major Accumulation Day (NYSE Up Volume to NYSE Down Volume ratio > 9)，所以明天多半是小棒棒，这样就要到下周才能决定方向了。提醒大家一下，不要忘了06/11 to 06/14的time window (See 06/04 Market Recap for more details)，目前看起来，可能是cycle top。

 

下面的图应该总结了我对大盘的看法：

1. SPX 1105ish是key，向上突破则是Double Bottom，target 1170，冲不过去，下测1040，则破的可能性很大，因为the 3rd time is the charm。
2. 我一直不sure大盘是否到底的两个原因，下面也列了，一是没有capitulation volume，二是NYMO missing positive divergence (see 06/09 Market Recap for more details)。
3. 目前整体形势对熊熊暂时有利。Table above还没有buy signal，因此trend is down，理论上还是应该尽量sell bounce。此外，从图上看1105是heavy resistance，不是那么容易就能冲过去的。

X中国陆军

darren168

thanks

balto

hhli3

回复 1# Cobra


   

everest001

Thanks!

songjiang

谢老大，终于等来了。

slcgh

THANK YOU VERY MUCH! LAODA.

silverado

Ding - first page

happyface

thanks

shoujie

vicvic

lwjnbtx

Thanks!!!

zleyre22

第一个1170是笔误吧


下面的图应该总结了我对大盘的看法：

SPX 1170ish是key，向上突破则是Double Bottom，target 1170，冲不过去，下测1040，则破的可能性很大，因为the 3rd time is the charm。
我一直不sure大盘是否到底的两个原因，下面也列了，一是没有capitulation volume，二是NYMO missing positive divergence (see 06/09 Market Recap for more details)。
目前整体形势对熊熊暂时有利。Table above还没有buy signal，因此trend is down，理论上还是应该尽量sell bounce。此外，从图上看1170是heavy resistance，不是那么容易就能冲过去的。

dingdingdang

Thanks

usamonkey

newnewhand

thanks

stockgirl

Thank you!

t-k

开小差

thx,ding