Buy WMT at current price ($53)

AGA7d · 发表于 2010-5-18 06:41 AM

Today is the ER day - earnings is 0.88 vs 0.77 last year; record sales and record earnings for the quarter.

However, the streets' reaction is lukewarm - up only ~30 cents in premarket, and well off the average price in 2010. The concern is two fold - its U.S. WMT store operation is subpar compared to peers, having a SSS down 1.4%. The price cut announcement will have a negative impact on next Q's earnings.

However, there are bright spots - international sales is up by 21%, Sam's Club sales up by 4.6%. The yearly sales will be over $400 bln. There are new sourcing deals with giant merchandise provider which will sure help margin. The new urban store push also bodes well for future growth. Despite the SSS down in Walmart stores, its overall sales grow thanks to new store openings.

In short, WMT is still growing but it has a beaten down P/E of 14. Considering the moat, the name brand, 2% dividend, it is an incredible bargain at $53.

AGA7d · 发表于 2010-5-18 06:42 AM

本帖最后由 AGA7d 于 2010-5-18 08:45 编辑

回复 1# AGA7d

Up $0.5 from when I started writing

爱在雨中 · 发表于 2010-5-18 06:52 AM

美国现在的消费能力很强吗？超市里人总是爆满吗？

AGA7d · 发表于 2010-5-18 07:00 AM

美国现在的消费能力很强吗？超市里人总是爆满吗？
爱在雨中发表于 2010-5-18 08:52

看地方和店。一般说来，沃尔玛，COSTCO里是人头攒拥，MACY/DILLARDS等中高档的就稀稀拉拉的见不到多少人，KOHLS/JCPENNEY介于两者之间。卖菜店因为是必须去的，所以人也较多。

总的说来，绝大多数美国店里人比国内是少的太多了，只有LA的COSTCO可能有一拼。

爱在雨中 · 发表于 2010-5-18 07:12 AM

回复 4# AGA7d

通过WMT和其他大型超市网购的情况又如何呢？

AGA7d · 发表于 2010-5-18 07:18 AM

本帖最后由 AGA7d 于 2010-5-18 09:22 编辑

WMT annual sale ~ 410 bln
Amazon ~27 bln
Target ~ 65 bln
Kroger ~ 77 bln
BestBuy ~ 50 bln
CostCo ~ 75 bln
HomeDepot ~ 67 bln
Lows ~ 48 bln

Most other online stores are much smaller than AMZN

So WMT's scale is amazing, equal to all the above 7 combined

AGA7d · 发表于 2010-5-18 08:16 AM

Up $1.4 now

Sanfranpig · 发表于 2010-5-18 10:17 PM

你有多少POZN?

sooners · 发表于 2010-5-18 10:19 PM

回复 1# AGA7d

:(13):

bushbreeze · 发表于 2010-6-25 04:37 PM

53块买的还在吗？

AGA7d · 发表于 2010-6-25 04:48 PM

本帖最后由 AGA7d 于 2010-6-25 18:52 编辑

53块买的还在吗？
bushbreeze 发表于 2010-6-25 18:37

yes - I won't cut WMT, always wait it coming back.

And I also explained a bit why WMT has been range-trading for 10 years - big mutual funds have been selling like crazy.

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:29 PM

WMT [48.80 -1.23 -2.46% 48.80-50.20 47.35-56.27] Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Common St

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:31 PM

WMT:
barchart rating: Strong Sell
after today's close

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:32 PM

Probably, we need to wait for a little more.

人之初 · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:34 PM

回复 8# Sanfranpig
100股8.9买的。不是很害怕。好像很都老大都有

人之初 · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:34 PM

是1000股啦

人之初 · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:36 PM

可以问问POZN是干嘛的吗?跟风买的。以后一定学习，不能老跟风了

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:55 PM

POZN [7.33 0.08 1.11% 7.17-7.47 5.16-12.68] Pozen, Inc.

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-6-25 05:57 PM

可以问问POZN是干嘛的吗?跟风买的。以后一定学习，不能老跟风了
人之初发表于 2010-6-25 19:36

POZEN is a pharmaceutical company focused primarily on products for the treatment of migraine, acute and chronic pain and other pain-related indications.

humbletrader · 发表于 2010-6-25 07:00 PM

WMT last 15 minutes had huge volume and big drop. Someone knew something? I think it might go down a while.

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[原创] Buy WMT at current price ($53)