05/13/2010 大盘回顾 （About 1-2-3 Formation Trading Setup）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in SELL mode Short-term 1 of 1 are SELL 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in SELL mode

ATTENTION 1.0.6 SPY Unfilled Gaps: 12 unfilled up gaps (max was 18), 2 unfilled down gaps.  0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: Could be an Ascending Broadening Wedge in the forming. BULLISH 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: Bottomed? 0.1.3 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals: NADVN too high. 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high. BEARISH CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING VEHICLE: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU, RSP ST Model 05/06 S 1.9xATR(10) Reversal Bar     NYMO Sell     Non-Stop 05/11 S N/A OTHER ETFs TREND TRADE COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ DOWN     IWM DOWN     CHINA DOWN   *2 big green bars in a row usually means rebound more. EMERGING DOWN     EUROPEAN DOWN   4.1.7 Vanguard European VIPERs (VGK Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $35.54. CANADA ?   BOND UP   *0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield, 4 reversal bars rejected at resistance so yield could pullback while bond could rebound. *ChiOsc is way too low. EURO DOWN   4.2.1 Currency Shares Euro Trust (FXE Weekly): Testing major support. Also too low below MA(200) now. *ChiOsc is way too low. YEN ?   GOLD UP   4.3.0 streetTRACKS Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99. ChiOsc is way too high. OIL DOWN ENERGY DOWN   FINANCIALS DOWN   REITS UP   MATERIALS DOWN

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.

SEASONALITY: NO UPDATE

 

SPX TIME AND TARGET ANALYSIS: THE PULLBACK COULD LAST TO 05/23

See 05/10 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: 05/06 LOW WILL BE BROKEN BUT NO EVIDENCE SAYS THIS IS A START OF A NEW BEAR MARKET

See 05/07 Market Recap for more details.

 

WARNING: If you don’t understand the true meaning of overbought/oversold, please skip the session below. Generally, you should try your best not to trade against the trend. Trading purely based on overbought/oversold while against the trend is lethal to the health of your account. Before going further, please make sure you understand how to use the table above.
SHORT-TERM: PAY ATTENTION TO 1-2-3 FORMATION SETUP

 

今天的下跌还不说明啥问题，market可上可下，虽然暂时还是维持expect the 2nd leg down的Forecast。

 

0.2.0 Volatility Index (Daily)，VIX有点不好看，因为Hammer有60%的几率bullish reversal，这对大盘不利，当然要看明天是否confirm。

 

 

0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield，这个可能会有分歧，我个人觉得不好看，4 reversal bars in a row under important resistance。Yield如果跌的话，也意味着大盘会跌。别小看Yield图，我的经验，yield leads the market。

 

 

下面的图，有兴趣地看一下，因为我经常提到1-2-3 formation，所以提一下有关这个pattern的trading setup，不是说要你这么做，因为实在没啥好说的了，今天。

 

 

再看看今天的0.1.0 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，符合1-2-3 formation sell setup，所以break down below today’s low is a short，理论上哈。

 

windy

safa!

胡同儿串子

sf? hehe

福多多

Fan8an

第一页!thanks

livefreakss

Cobra's daily report is earlier today....

surya

Thx!

cheyenne

hifive

Shafufu

Thanks a lot!

Cobra

Cobra's daily report is earlier today....
livefreakss 发表于 2010-5-13 19:53

    Because of nothing to say.

Poo

thanks

Bencat

abracadabra

livefreakss

Because of nothing to say.
Cobra 发表于 2010-5-13 20:00

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impresario100

falcone

Thanks a lot

outer

HTER

coppereye

坚决贯彻第二腿！