04/29/2010 大盘回顾 （Nasdaq Traders Got Very Excited）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 2 of 3 are SELL 3 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in BUY mode Short-term 1 of 1 are SELL 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in BUY mode

ATTENTION *1.0.6 SPY Unfilled Gaps: 17 unfilled up gaps. (max was 18) 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: Could be an Ascending Broadening Wedge in the forming. BULLISH 4.1.0 S&P 500 Large Cap Index (Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target 1246. 0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: NYHGH new high could mean SPX new high ahead. BEARISH 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPCE MA(10) too low. 0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: CPCE MA(5) too low. 4.0.4 Dow Theory: Averages Must Confirm: NYHILO too high. 4.1.0 S&P 500 Large Cap Index (Weekly): BPSPX too high. CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING VEHICLE: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model *04/29 L 1.5xATR(10) *Be careful, don’t get too bullish, the uptrend is weakening. Reversal Bar *04/29 L 0.9xATR(10) NYMO Sell     Non-Stop     VIX MA ENV *04/29 L 1.0xATR(10)   OTHER ETFs TREND TRADE COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ UP   4.1.1 Nasdaq 100 Index (Weekly): BPNDX overbought and too high above MA(200). IWM UP   4.1.2 Russell 2000 iShares (IWM Weekly): Too high above MA(200). CHINA DOWN   EMERGING DOWN   Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $39.90. CANADA UP   BOND ?   Testing important resistance, will upgrade to up from down if breakout. DOLLAR UP FXE breakdown to new low! GOLD UP   GDX UP   OIL ? $WTIC tests MA(50) again, will downgrade to down from up if breakdown. ENERGY UP   FINANCIALS DOWN   4.4.2 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF Weekly): Too high above MA(200). Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $15.29. REITS UP MATERIALS UP

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.

SEASONALITY: MOSTLY THE MONTH’S LAST TRADING WEEK WAS RED SINCE AUG 2009

See 04/23 Market Recap for more details.

 

CYCLE ANALYSIS: THE NEXT IMPORTANT DATE IS 05/06

The next potential turn date is 05/06 (+-) which could either be a top or a bottom depending on how the market marches to that date. See 04/16 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: EXPECT ROLLER COASTER AHEAD

See 04/26 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: NASDAQ TRADERS GOT VERY EXCITED AGAIN

 

明天如果还能涨，那牛牛才可以松口气，这是因为从1.0.0 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)看，还不能排除今天是back test the broken trend line的可能，明天如果下跌的话，就比较bearish了。

 

 

明天是涨是跌，我不知道，不过看起来Nasdaq traders都很兴奋，今天一天又是没有小于零的TICK，因此The Intraday Cumulative TICK (Courtesy of sentimentrader)又是个big WOW，extremely high。上两次我WOW-ed是在04/14 Market Recap and 04/20 Market Recap。

 

brcm

.................蛇皮一张。。。呵呵

yaobooyao

获利必有回吐。回吐可能是呕吐， 也可能是打嗝。

sooners

回复 1# Cobra


    wow

trueself

big WOW

fead

thanks!

Poo

thanks

claudio

顶

bendzhao

X中国陆军

Cool

HTER

xixi

福多多

ding

Alchemist

phoenix

H@T

impresario100

soulvirus

thx

stockgirl

First page! thank you!

maomi