01/05/2010 大盘回顾 （Financials Look Good）

Cobra

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT – Click links to see chart or visit my public chart list. Long-term Up     Intermediate Up Neutral 3.0.0 TNX: Top in a month? 8.1.0 Normalized NYTV: Topped? 12/31 Recap: Climax Buying spiked, could be Topped. 12/31 Recap: II and AAII survey both show extremely low number of bears. Short-term Up Neutral 1.0.2 SPY: 15 unfilled gaps. 01/04 Recap: Too many bearish extremes. 0.0.3 SPX: CPC MA10 is too high. 0.0.6 Nasdaq 100, 0.0.1 Top/Bottom Watch: NADNV/NYDNV is too low. 1.1.0 Nasdaq: NDXA50R is too high.

CONCLUSION & TRADE Signals presented in the short-term comment area are enough to justify a short selling. Waiting for a Bearish Reversal Bar to short.

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE INSTRUCTION STOP LOSS Mechanic trading signals, details are HERE.  Take profit whenever you see appropriate. ST Model 12/21 L   Breakeven Reversal Bar     NYMO Sell     VIX ENV

WATCH LIST COMMENT – *New update, they may not be mentioned in the report. Click links to see more details. RUSSELL 2000 4.1.2 Russell 2000 iShares (IWM Weekly) : Bearish reversal bar plus multi-resistances, price could drop. EMERGING 1.4.1 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM Daily): Breakout, not very convincing though. FINANCIALS 3.5.0 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF Daily): *Confirmed breakout of a Roof formation. REITS 3.6.0 Real Estate iShares (IYR Daily): *On multiple support, could rebound.  OIL & ENERGY 3.4.1 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO 30 min): Could be a Bearish Rising Wedge in the forming.  GOLD 3.3.0 streetTRACKS Gold Trust Shares (GLD Daily): *Could be a back test of the broken trend line therefore likely to fall. DOLLAR 3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily): *Double hollow red bar, could rebound. BOND

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: NO UPDATE

 

Nothing new, in uptrend, upside target for SPX could be 1150ish.

 

SHORT-TERM: DOLLAR COULD REBOUND

 

没啥新鲜的，short-term bearish signs没有改善，plus as mentioned in today’s After Bell Quick Summary，statistically a negative seasonality starting from tomorrow。详见trend table，short-term comment area。

 

3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily)，两个空心红棒棒，明天反弹的几率应该比较大，介个对大盘不利。

 

 

好消息是Financials and REITS看着都不错：

 

4.4.2 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF Weekly)，breakout，非常不错，就看能不能hold到weekend了。 

 

 

3.6.0 Real Estate iShares (IYR Daily)，On multiple support，反弹的可能很大。

 

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

 

vivian7899

sd_engine

No.1

soulvirus

偶光看忘了回复， 把沙发丢了， 哭死

sd_engine

sofa

源济

看完了老蛇的报告，还不快去投票、下注？！

赌：$SPX涨跌，周三 1/6/2010

ppteam

ding

sd_engine

Thanks

happyface

thanks Cobra

PacificLegend

sandera

phoenix

michaelzhang

Positive_Theta

Last year's rally can be attributed to the Fed, let's give some faith to the Fed for at least a month or two...

Alchemist

terranmn

ding

Fan8an

thanks

碧海潮生

LadyLucy