12/17/2009 大盘回顾 （Still not many AAII bears）

Cobra

Summary:

Despite very bullish seasonality, the market may not be able to go up much because there're too few bears.

Could be more pullback ahead.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	*Down	Neutral
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model	12/10 L			*Stopped out of long flat on 12/17
Reversal Bar	12/10 L			*Stopped out of long flat on 12/17
NYMO Sell
VIX ENV

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH SEASONALITY BUT MARKET MAY NOT UP HUGE

 

没说的，祥见12/14/2009 Market Recap and 12/16/2009 Market Recap，seasonality very bullish不错，不过too few bears，所以俺怀疑还有多少upside空间。今天AAII的数据又是显示没有多少小散熊了。从图上看，top到不一定，但是也是说向上的空间不大。

 

SHORT-TERM: COULD BE MORE PULLBACK AHEAD

 

昨天的报告看short term top is close，理由是QQQQ的黑棒棒，那，今天confirm了介个黑棒棒。大家看看下面的图，出现黑棒棒，第二天又有大红棒棒confirm以后都发生了啥？

 

INTERESTING CHARTS:

 

1.4.0 Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (Daily)，天朝的规律很简单，大红棒棒以后会跌几天，所以more pullback ahead。 

 

hnhy

darren168

Many thanks.

ddr

bucks

1st page

terranmn

atrader

thanks

CoolMax

钱发完了。

guelder_rose

Thanx!

ddr

谢CM老大犒赏！， 要是能把阅读权限升到50 就好了。

JohnHsu

Thanks.

时利和

谢谢, 天朝的图好. 希望每周能看一次.

又见123, 真多呀.

rsc163

1st page

final_fantasy

ninemao

If a pullback ahead, why short-term still is up?

时利和

是呀, 天下无熊了!!!

happyface

thanks so much.

soulvirus

rosyrosy

gardener2000

good night!