12/03/2009 大盘回顾 （Bearish Reversal Day）

Cobra

Summary:

Bearish reversal day since March mostly led to a further pullback.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	Up	Neutral
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model	11/30 L	*Adjust Stop Loss	12/03 Low
Reversal Bar	11/30 L		Breakeven
NYMO Sell		*Short tomorrow if Open > Close.
VIX ENV
Patterns ect.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BUILDING A TOP

 

维持building a top的forecast。详见11/27/2009 Market Recap。

 

昨天报告里提到了，最新的Investor's Intelligence Sentiment Survey显示熊newsletter已经是the 3rd record low了。现在再看看sideline money，虽然不是extremely low，但至少Fund manager们手上的cash并不多。

 

SHORT-TERM: VERY CLOSE TO A TOP

 

看一下下面的图，蓝圈圈，自三月以来SPY opened with an up gap then closed in red以后都发生了啥。加上1.1.3 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals昨天的黑棒棒，very likely，最近会有a little bigger pullback。

 

明天呢，After Bell Quick Summary看跌，不过牛牛有个机会，就是米金可能会跌，因为3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily)，黑棒棒。谁对谁错，俺觉得不重要了，因为sell bounce should be the name of the game now。

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

happyface

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windy

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MLat42

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PacificLegend

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