11/12/2009 大盘回顾 （Evening Star?）

Cobra

Summary:

Evening Star plus multiple cycles turn date and plus potential NYMO sell signal tomorrow, so could be more pullbacks ahead.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	Up	Neutral
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model	11/11 S		2 x ATR(10)	2 x ATR(10) is 4% for SPY. For 2x ETF use 8% and for 3x ETF use 12%.
Reversal Bar	11/11 S		0.8xATR(10)	Stop loss is approximately 2% for SPY.
NYMO Sell		*Short if Open > Close tomorrow.
VIX ENV
Patterns ect.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD BE MORE PULLBACKS AHEAD

 

今天的pullback虽然本身不能说明什么问题，不过从其他一些evidence的情况看，可能more pullbacks ahead。

 

6.4.0 SPX and NYMO Divergence Watch，so far工作的不错。明天如果Open > Close的话，就confirm NYMO Sell的setup了。这个setup，winning rate是65%，Gain/Loss Ratio是5.2，非常不错，不过，俺不会follow，因为昨天刚刚follow了ST Model，在还没有多少利润的情况下，follow同样性质的setup风险比较大。跟Reversal Bar setup一样，俺会照常更新信号though。Again，介些都是机械信号，for fun only。

 

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，Evening Star有72%的机会向下。

 

3.3.0 streetTRACKS Gold Trust Shares (GLD Daily)，gold leads US$最近，证据可以参见6.4.5 GLD and UUP Watch，因此GLD今天的Evening Star可能意味着金子要跌，米金要涨，介对大盘不利。

 

1.0.9 SPX Cycle Watch (60 min)，不同timing的cycle同时due的时候，strong reversal的几率非常大，除非明天开盘就低开几百点，否则看起来下一个cycle应该是个down cycle。介跟0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals，明天到期的10 day cycle不谋而合，所以有理由相信，介次cycle会工作。

 

SHORT-TERM: NO UPDATE

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

 

rosyrosy

sofa 1st time!

torontonian

skitty

ding

Cobra,  which time cycles coincide together now?   thank you!

dlaodou

清零

谢谢!

wxp

trueself

1# Cobra

thanks!

谷丰

first page, ding

Diffusion

layschips

atrader

hannah

第一页？史无前例

ChuChu888

QSCNC

Thanks

nasd

first page.  click click

X中国陆军

Cool

abaqus

still 1st page?

JohnHsu

1# Cobra

老大, 米金(UUP)在22.1左右有重要支撑。Huge volume recently. 偶看还是小心为上。



移到介里来。哈哈。