The US Government Will Be Totally Bankrupt In A Year And A Half

ppteam

happylux

Techinically yes. In reality: no way.

牛二买刀

Alchemist

solutions:
(1) 100% inflation, so the debt can be cut to half;
(2) tax everything, including CO2 tax on everybody, every dog, cat, pet snake, etc.;
(3) ask aliens on mars for bailout.

atrader

这哥俩算不算小散？

dividend_growth

什么杀逼？不列颠历史上几次把国债搞到GDP的250%都没破产，美国90%就破产啦？

dara

什么杀逼？不列颠历史上几次把国债搞到GDP的250%都没破产，美国90%就破产啦？
dividend_growth 发表于 2009-11-10 22:00

how did they solve it? war?

It looks  impossible to me, just use some easy calaculation, that would be hard.

I suppose the average interest is 4%, 250% GDP x 4% = 10% GDP.

So for interest alone it need pay 10% of GDP, how much tax can they get each year?  let's say 25%,  

so 40% of their income will pay for interest alone? how would that work?

Even UK government collect 50% tax on GDP(no way), still 20% will pay for the interest.


There must be something else.

阿斗

Inflation is the only way to go. Keep printing dollars while you still can.

BlueRiver

不用担心啦 , 日本的国债是GDP的多少倍了?,  一样好好的

这年头, 欠债的那是大爷 , 债主才是孙子

dividend_growth

7# dara

英国二战结束后国债是GDP的250%，而且国内一片废墟，还不照样过来了？

德国一战后国债是GDP的400%，后来国内最重要的经济区被外国人占领，才发生了超级通胀。

不要听到媒体里某某在那狂吼，就认为末日将要来临。

要相信老邓的话：“摸着石头过河”，“不管白猫黑猫，抓到老鼠就是好猫”。

polopolo

关键在于，什么时候的GDP?战争结束是的GDP没什么意义。

美国的问题不是国债，而是它的福利系统。福利系统在现代社会对经济有促进作用 - 一百年前美国人也很会存钱。过去40年美国用福利系统把未来三十年的钱都花了，搞得所有资产类别都产生泡沫，下面该还福利系统的帐的时候却发现所有泡沫都要崩裂了。