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http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com ... r-5-financials.html
Earnings Per Share Trends for 5 Financials
Just looking at the earnings per share estimate for a company heading prior to its quarterly report doesn't tell you much. A more informative analysis is to look at how the estimates have changed throughout the quarter to see if analysts have gotten more positive or negative on earnings. Below we highlight the trend in earnings estimates for five major financial firms -- Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup.
As shown below, earnings per share estimates have risen for GS and JPM throughout the quarter, while they have fallen for MS, BAC, and C. Goldman has seen its Q3 EPS estimate rise from $3.40 to $4.18, so GS is expected to knock the cover off the ball again this quarter. With estimates up so much, however, a failure to meet or beat the $4.18 mark could spell doom for the stock. Morgan Stanley's estimates have dropped from $0.50 down to $0.35, while Bank of America and Citigroup started the quarter with expectations for a loss and have only seen estimates fall lower and lower into negative territory.




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