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[讨论] 知道为啥跌了,GS raises job-loss forecast!!!

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发表于 2009-10-1 05:07 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Oct. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. today said the economy probably lost more jobs in September than it previously anticipated, citing “disappointing” economic data including the number of people receiving jobless benefits.

Payrolls probably fell by 250,000 workers last month rather than the 200,000 Goldman had previously estimated, chief U.S. economist Jan Hatzius said in a note to clients.
Hatzius said declines in the Monster Worldwide Inc.’s index of online help-wanted ads, the Institute for Supply Management’s factory employment gauge and consumers’ assessments of the labor market from the Conference Board’s confidence survey prompted the change. Additionally, the total number of people receiving jobless benefits, including those getting extended benefits, remains elevated, he said.

The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projects the economy lost 175,000 jobs last month, compared with 216,000 in August. The economy has lost about 6.9 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007.

Last month, Goldman projected a 250,000 drop in payrolls for August, exceeding figure reported by the Labor Department. On Aug. 6, Goldman lowered its forecast for July payroll losses to 250,000 from a prior 300,000 projection, putting it in line with the government’s initial estimate of 247,000.
发表于 2009-10-1 05:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
NND,那明天不是很容易Beat吗。
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发表于 2009-10-1 05:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-10-1 05:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
NND,那明天不是很容易Beat吗。
CoolMax 发表于 2009-10-1 18:09


这个是对内部clients的,也就是说明天会比市场预期的2000,000多...

是BIG MISS...
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发表于 2009-10-1 05:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
汗…… 那明天看来没有什么希望啦。
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发表于 2009-10-1 05:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-10-1 05:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
GS做空了,那是涨到头了。
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发表于 2009-10-1 07:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-10-1 07:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
好像以前某次GS也做过这种事。
也是个250,000,但是是下调。
如果没记错的话。
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发表于 2009-10-2 12:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
This news is not the cause, it's the result.

real cause is PMI, GDP, jobless claim and the stronger dollar policy.

9# z_crochio
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