Institutional Index and Collection of Leading Indicators

Cobra

Nothing to imply, just show you something interesting to remind you, hey, don’t forget this blog!

 

Here’s the comment I see everyday from www.stocktiming.com:

Chart 1-1: The Institutional Index of "core holdings"...

Overview: This is one of the first charts we look at everyday because Institutions represent over half of the market's volume and they have a predominant influence on the market.  As an index, Institutional movements track better technically than any of the other indexes.  For instance, on October 11th. 2007, the Institutional "core holdings" index hit an EXACT 61.8% Fibonacci retracement while the other indexes did not.  That day marked the EXACT top of the market.

Well, here is the monthly Institutional Index chart. If the last rally stopped right at Fib 61.8 then could Fib 38.2 possibly mean the rally is over?

 

A collection of leading indicators listed below, any additional add-on to recommend?

 

By the way, could anyone recommend me a very good back test software or services? (Like for the past 100 cases, there were 36 cases a green close next day) Thanks.

ziteng_rhein

谢谢！

多吉

这个$XII 38.2%是我喊顶的依据之一。不过从时间跨度上来看，眼下的pull back还应只是一个uptrend过程中的major correction，potential target = 445-450（-9% ~ -10% from the top at 494.5）。接着美股后市还会创新高，目标545（50% FIB ＝ ＋21% from 450）。也就是说年底之前，在市场依据Q3企业盈利、就业稳企和GDP增长来确认经济复苏的过程中，美股还会有一段攀爬忧虑之墙的ascending行情。一个common sense是，我不会相信精明如Paulson之流，会在BAC均价13.6重仓入市，然后拿个+20%就跑。。。

Aeiou

thanks

Jennyahwu

thx, ding

houston

5# Jennyahwu


多谢!

houston

1# Cobra


多谢!

houston

1# Cobra


老大,EWI还用优质BOND和差BOND的spread作了个指标.

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