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[转贴] Secular Bear Markets and Their Aftermath

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发表于 2009-8-29 11:33 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/2009/08/secular_bear_ma.html


Secular Bear Markets and Their Aftermath
By Paul Kedrosky · Thursday, August 27, 2009 · ShareThis

I’m never a fan of averaging across dissimilar market events  --- and aren’t they all dissimilar, in the end? --- but Barry has up a useful figure comparing markets after secular declines, like the once we just had.

发表于 2009-8-30 08:43 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-8-30 12:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/2009/08/secular_bear_ma.html


Secular Bear Markets and Their Aftermath
By Paul Kedrosky · Thursday, August 27, 2009 · ShareThis

I’m never a fan of averagin ...
xyin 发表于 2009-8-29 12:33 PM


why up 70% within 17mo?
wonder how he came up with those figures...
btw, time line at the bottom of chart should be marked...


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发表于 2009-8-30 04:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
why up 70% within 17mo?
wonder how he came up with those figures...
btw, time line at the bottom of chart should be marked...


多吉 发表于 2009-8-30 13:12


Seems it came from the 0.618. Just a guess.
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发表于 2009-8-31 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
why up 70% within 17mo?
wonder how he came up with those figures...
btw, time line at the bottom of chart should be marked...


多吉 发表于 2009-8-30 12:12


only if you follow the link a little bit deeper...


from http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/200 ... cular-bear-markets/
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-8-31 01:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢上面老大的图。。
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