Projected Cycle Wave C Based on Mortgage Rate Resets

maserati · 发表于 2009-8-24 07:53 AM

Coming soon to your neighborhood: the eat-all-you-can steakhouse!

liblib123 · 发表于 2009-8-24 08:09 AM

weigoodone01 · 发表于 2009-8-24 08:10 AM

ppteam · 发表于 2009-8-24 09:20 AM

从传统TA来说，是用MA CROSS来定义牛/熊市吧，周线那种。
现在能说是熊市的好像只有WAVE论了。是不是以前跌得太狠了。

Cooker · 发表于 2009-8-24 09:55 AM

coexist · 发表于 2009-8-24 11:43 PM

maimait · 发表于 2009-8-24 11:49 PM

maserati 你太狠了

littletiger · 发表于 2009-8-25 09:27 AM

1# maserati

if you google, there is a new update around 2009 may. and basically, on top of current pic, there is new unsecuritized ARM resets.
from this pic, in the late 2010, there will be big correction for sure.

however, if u count all resets, the size is about ($20B (per month) * 12 (month) * 2 (year) = $480B)
TALF money is double the size of those reset.

my conclusion is: only big correction but no crash.

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