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本帖最后由 yaobooyao 于 2009-8-17 19:31 编辑
Market Internal indicator 今天终于确认了顶部信号:($BPSPX bearish crossed)
到目前为止,这是最忠实的大盘顶、底反转信号!
事实就是事实!大盘将无可避免的进入调整。
今天DownVol/UpVol > 15, a MDD!
目前的趋势:由于市场将注意力转向消费者和房子,问题的本质!而且这两个因素是反牛市的!
下一步:(我不会参与任何短期的Buy Dip,大盘怎么见顶的,也会怎么见底,看宏观信号!最笨的办法最好用)
* Stop Buy-dip.近期的反弹都将是死牛的Buy-Dip 行为造成的!
* Watch SPX 950 closely. Could be a bounce there, but the long term view and market sentiment is key by that time.(it can go down further to 910 which I feel the possibility is low).
美元持续升势,近期commodity、Bond 将不支持股市! |
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